Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 10

Date: 29 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Natal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping


	ABC		Ypiranga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	2.9	4.1
				Watch
	1.75	3.22	5.41
				Watch
	1.91	2.9	4.2
	1.72	3.29	5.47	Watch
	2.4	2.79	3.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.11)	3.02 ↓ (3.3)	4.45 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
48.3%

Draw
30.8%

Ypiranga
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

27.8%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.3%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ypiranga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ypiranga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

ABC - Ypiranga Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ypiranga will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. ABC (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe Garcia (G) 4. Bruno Bispo 17. Bruno Leite 8. Carlos Eduardo 21. Ian 20. Jonatha Carlos 2. Lucas Mota 16. Manoel 7. Matheus Martins 13. Octavio 19. Ytalo	40. Ze Carlos (C) 19. Caique 5. Charles Raphael 9. Cristiano 11. Felipe Marques 25. Gabriel Terra 36. Igor Morais 10. Jean Pyerre 22. Rian K. R. d. N. 7. Roger 3. Willian Gomes
Substitutes
10. Anderson Rosa 25. Ezequiel 23. Islan 9. Jenison 5. Lucas Goncalves 26. Matheus Rocha 18. Orlando Junior 12. Pedro Paulo (G) 14. Randerson 3. Renato Vischi 11. Wallyson 15. Windson	34. Arthur Vellasque (G) 99. Danielzinho 33. Eduardo Grechi 32. Fabao 79. Gabryel Martins 23. Marlone 20. Maxuel Cassio 18. Montefiori T. 2. Vitor Marinho
Coaches
Evaristo Piza	Matheus Costa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', Jean Pyerre 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Rian K. R. d. N. ⚽,
13', Gabriel Terra 🟨,
20', Felipe Marques ↓, Gabryel Martins ↑,
21', 0 - 2, Gabryel Martins ⚽,
29', Carlos Eduardo 🟨,
43', Gabryel Martins 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bruno Leite ↓, Orlando Junior ↑,
46', Octavio ↓, Randerson ↑,
46', Jonatha Carlos ↓, Jenison ↑,
59', Jean Pyerre ↓, Marlone ↑,
59', Gabriel Terra ↓, Fabao ↑,
60', Ze Carlos 🟨,
65', Ytalo ↓, Wallyson ↑,
65', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Anderson Rosa ↑,
65', Ze Carlos ↓, Arthur Vellasque ↑,
65', Cristiano ↓, Maxuel Cassio ↑,
81', 0 - 3, Rian K. R. d. N. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Recent performances by ABC have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ypiranga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ypiranga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

ABC could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ABC won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie C
14.06.25	Ponte Preta - ABC	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	ABC - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	Londrina - ABC	1:1 ✺
19.05.25	ABC - Anápolis	3:3 ✺
10.05.25	Brusque - ABC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TTTTW
- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
15.06.25	Ypiranga - Confiança	1:0 ✺
02.06.25	Ponte Preta - Ypiranga	0:1 ✺
25.05.25	Ypiranga - Tombense	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Ypiranga - Náutico Capibaribe	0:4 ✺
10.05.25	Anápolis - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
29.06.24	Ypiranga - ABC	1:1
20.06.22	Ypiranga - ABC	0:0

ABC - Ypiranga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide