Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 10

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Natal)

Referee: Furtado A. S. (Bra)


	ABC		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	2.95	2.15
	3.5	3.05	2.12
	3.83	2.99	2.28
	3.5	3	2.2
	3.62	3.14	2.16	Watch
	3.45	3.1	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.65)	3.04 ↓ (3.13)	2.18 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
26.3%

Draw
30.7%

Grêmio Novorizontino
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

29.8%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

29.7%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ABC's form might have worsened.

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio Novorizontino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ABC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

ABC - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simao (G) 16. Luiz Gustavo 33. Habraao 15. Afonso 9. Felipe Garcia 73. Thonny Anderson 26. Jhonnathan 23. Bruno Lima 20. Ramon 8. Lucas Tocantins 25. Leo Ceara	44. Jordi (G) 2. Raul Prata 3. Renato 5. Geovane 16. Reverson 7. Douglas Baggio (C) 26. Adriano Martins 28. Marlon 37. Cesar Martins 9. Ronaldo 11. Aylon
Substitutes
19. Gil Robson 18. Goncalves G. D. 30. Gustavo Hebling 27. Junior Todinho 99. Maycon Douglas 17. Richardson 13. Romario 21. Thallyson 98. Wallace 90. Wellington (G) 31. Welliton	23. Biel 20. Felipe Marques 1. Georgemy (G) 18. Jenison 19. Leo Tocantins 97. Lepo 88. Matsuoka D. 15. Ricardinho 30. Roberto 10. Rodolfo 17. Romulo 95. Ze Mateus
Coaches
Aal A.	Eduardo Baptista

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

ABC is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Novorizontino is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Novorizontino will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in ABC: Walfrido (Injury)

There will not play in Novorizontino: Denner (Injury) Ligger (Injury) Lucas (Injury) Roberto (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie B
28.05.23	Sport Recife - ABC	4:1 ✺
23.05.23	ABC - Tombense	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	Sampaio Corrêa - ABC	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
17.05.23	ABC - América RN	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
14.05.23	ABC - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLTL
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
28.05.23	Ceará - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:3 ✺
23.05.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí	2:0 ✺
20.05.23	Ituano - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
13.05.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
06.05.23	Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWLT

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