Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 9

Date: 28 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)

Referee: Padovani Andrade D. J. (Bra)


	Sport Recife		ABC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	4.2	6.5
	1.4	4.25	7
	1.46	4.43	7.88
	1.4	4.2	8
	1.42	4.5	7.6	Watch
	1.43	4.3	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.38)	4.31 ↑ (4.28)	7.3 ↓ (8.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
65.6%

Draw
21.6%

ABC
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

21.6%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

20.2%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Recife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sport Recife - ABC Predictions

Users Predictions: Sport Recife will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Renan (G) 26. Eduardo 35. Sabino 12. Alisson Cassiano 6. Felipinho 7. Fabinho 5. Ronaldo 10. Jorginho 97. Fabricio Daniel 46. Luciano Juba 9. Vagner Love (C)	1. Simao (G) 28. Wallace 26. Jhonnathan 4. Habraao 17. Richardson (C) 20. Ramon 21. Thallyson 92. Leo Ceara 8. Lucas Tocantins 9. Felipe Garcia 55. Bruno Lima
Substitutes
44. Chico 47. Fabio Matheus 90. Gabriel Santos 57. Gean Carlos 39. Italo 28. Joao Igor 76. Jordan (G) 17. Kayke Rodrigues 55. Lucas Andre 13. Renzo 52. Victor Gabriel	80. Caique 18. Gil Robson 96. Gustavo Hebling 27. Junior Todinho 16. Raphael Luz 88. Romario 10. Thonny Anderson 90. Wellington (G) 31. Welliton
Coaches
Moreira E.	Jonydei M.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sport Recife won 3.

Recent matches Sport Recife is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

ABC is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sport Recife is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Sport Recife: Edinho (Injury) Eduardo (Injury) Facu Labandeira (Injury) Igor Carius (Injury) Matheus Vargas (Injury) Paulinho (Injury)

There will not play in ABC: Walfrido (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sport Recife won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Sport Recife won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
24.05.23	Criciúma - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	Sport Recife - Botafogo SP	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.05.23	Sport Recife - São Paulo	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
14.05.23	Ituano - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
10.05.23	Sport Recife - Tombense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLTW
- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie B
23.05.23	ABC - Tombense	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	Sampaio Corrêa - ABC	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
17.05.23	ABC - América RN	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
14.05.23	ABC - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
10.05.23	América RN - ABC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
30.03.23	Sport Recife - ABC	1:0
21.01.23	Sport Recife - ABC	2:0
Brazilian Serie B
10.09.13	ABC - Sport Recife	4:2
28.05.13	Sport Recife - ABC	1:0
Copa do Brasil
21.05.13	Sport Recife - ABC	2:3
08.05.13	ABC - Sport Recife	2:0

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