Match Info

Serie B - Round 26

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Novo Horizonte)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Avaí

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.10	7.00	Watch
	1.46	4.00	6.50
	1.49	4.00	6.75	Watch
	1.49	4.21	7.67
	1.46	4.16	7.24	Watch
	1.46	4.15	7.55
	1.47	4.07	6.95	Watch
	1.47	4.10	6.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.55)	4.1 ↑ (3.95)	7.03 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
63.8%

Draw
22.9%

Avaí
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

23.6%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

23%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Jordi (G) 2. Madson 26. Gabriel Bahia 4. Patrick 66. Maykon Jesus 6. Luis Oyama 18. Leo Naldi 41. Reidiney 10. Romulo 30. Nicolas Careca 11. Robson (C)	94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 22. Joao Vitor 3. Allyson (C) 40. Reynaldo 36. Douglas Teixeira 25. Paulo Vitor 8. Luiz Henrique 23. Gabriel Cipriano 10. Jean Lucas 95. Wenderson 11. Vizeu F.
Substitutes
9. Carlao 3. Carlinhos 31. Cesar Augusto (G) 19. Diego Galo 14. Eduardo Brock 22. Ivan Alvarino 50. Juninho 28. Marlon 17. Matheus Bianqui 7. Ronald Barcellos 15. Tavinho 16. Vinicius Paiva	4. Gabriel Simples 15. Guilherme Aquino 18. Hyan 1. Igor Bohn (G) 26. Immig V. 20. Isaias 30. Kaua Gabriel 7. Leo Chu 21. Otavio Passos (G) 35. Pedrao 77. Ze Ricardo
Coaches
Moreira E.	Aal A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Madson ⚽, Robson (A),
24', 1 - 1, Allyson ⚽, Jean Lucas (A),
34', Douglas Teixeira 🟨,
37', Romulo (Penalty Awarded),
39', 2 - 1, Robson ⚽, Reidiney (A),
45+7', 3 - 1, Romulo ⚽, Jordi (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vizeu F. ↓, Isaias ↑,
46', Patrick 🟨,
60', Luiz Henrique ↓, Leo Chu ↑,
60', Gabriel Cipriano ↓, Kaua Gabriel ↑,
61', Reidiney 🟨,
65', Reidiney ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
71', Douglas Teixeira ↓, Immig V. ↑,
71', Wenderson ↓, Ze Ricardo ↑,
74', Nicolas Careca ↓, Diego Galo ↑,
74', Robson ↓, Carlao ↑,
79', Romulo ↓, Juninho ↑,
79', Madson ↓, Ivan Alvarino ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 1.

Novorizontino is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Avaí has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Novorizontino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Novorizontino is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Novorizontino: Ortiz C. (Injury) Renato Palm (Inactive)

There will not play in Avaí: Juan Rocha (Inactive) Pedro Cuiaba (Inactive) William (Inactive)

There are questionable in Avaí: Daniel Penha (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Novorizontino	31	15	9	7	52:27	25	54
17	Avai	32	9	6	17	32:43	-11	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
28.08.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Athletic Club - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:4 ✺
20.08.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - América Mineiro	3:0 ✺
16.08.26	CRB Maceio - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Juventude	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWTL
- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
30.08.26	Avaí - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Ponte Preta - Avaí	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Avaí - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Operário Ferroviario - Avaí	1:2 ✺
11.08.26	Avaí - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
03.05.26	Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino	3:3
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.04.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí	1:2
Brazilian Serie B
03.08.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí	1:1
06.04.25	Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1
22.10.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí	2:0
08.07.24	Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1
11.09.23	Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0

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