Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 6

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Natal)

Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)


	ABC		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.4
	2.28	2.95	3.25
	2.3	2.99	3.8
	2.25	2.9	3.4
	2.17	3.15	3.58	Watch
	2.28	3.05	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.52)	2.99 ↓ (3.04)	3.44 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
41.7%

Draw
31.2%

Botafogo SP
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

30.3%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

29.7%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ABC's performance.

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo SP might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo SP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

ABC - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Botafogo SP will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 7).

ABC is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Botafogo SP is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo SP could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently ABC have a series of guest games.

ABC will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in ABC: Bruno Lima (Injury) Walfrido (Injury)

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Ericson (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches ABC won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams ABC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
10.05.23	América RN - ABC	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
06.05.23	CRB Maceio - ABC	1:1 ✺
03.05.23	Ituano - ABC	3:0 ✺
30.04.23	ABC - Ceará	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
27.04.23	Grêmio - ABC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTLLT
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
05.05.23	Botafogo SP - Vitória Salvador	0:3 ✺
02.05.23	Ponte Preta - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
29.04.23	Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.04.23	Santos - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.04.23	Botafogo SP - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
14.05.22	Botafogo SP - ABC	2:0
07.10.16	ABC - Botafogo SP	1:0
30.09.16	Botafogo SP - ABC	0:0

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