Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 36

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	ABC		Juventude

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.5	3.5	1.53
	7	3.6	1.55	Watch
	7.4	3.73	1.58
	7.22	3.73	1.58
	6.5	3.6	1.5
	6.7	3.62	1.57	Watch
	7	3.55	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.9 ↑ (4.64)	3.62 ↑ (3.31)	1.55 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
13.6%

Draw
25.9%

Juventude
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

28.4%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

27.8%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ABC's form might have worsened.

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventude's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ABC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventude, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

ABC - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Juventude will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Michael (G) 22. Alex Silva 4. Habraao 30. Jhonnathan 16. Romario (C) 14. Wellington Reis 27. Nathan Melo 10. Thonny Anderson 31. Welliton 11. Wallyson 97. Fabio Costa	1. Thiago Couto (G) 93. Reginaldo 4. Danilo Boza 3. Ze Marcos 28. Alan Ruschel (C) 5. Jean 44. Mandaca 16. Jadson 8. Matheus Vargas 11. David 9. Erick
Substitutes
15. Afonso 40. Barreto Gomes Y. R. (G) 44. Fabricio 33. Geovane 2. Goncalves G. D. 8. Jefinho 7. Matheus Anjos 90. Matheus Refundini (G) 75. Maycon Douglas 92. Paulo Sergio	33. Echapora 7. Emerson Santos 95. Kady 25. Kelvi 21. Kelvyn 12. Leo Vieira (G) 23. Luiz Gustavo 20. Rafael Furtado 29. Ruan 34. Tite 36. Vini Paulista
Coaches
Fuchs A.	Carpini T.

Preview

ABC is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )

ABC is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Juventude is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Juventude could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Juventude is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in ABC: Walfrido (Injury) Wellington (Injury)

There will not play in Juventude: Nene (Injury) Reginaldo (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches ABC won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams ABC won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie B
07.11.23	Criciúma - ABC	1:0 ✺
26.10.23	ABC - Avaí	1:1 ✺
19.10.23	Atlético Goianiense - ABC	3:1 ✺
10.10.23	ABC - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Chapecoense - ABC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLLT
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
03.11.23	Juventude - Ituano	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Vitória Salvador - Juventude	0:0 ✺
21.10.23	Juventude - Londrina	2:2 ✺
16.10.23	Juventude - Sport Recife	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	Tombense - Juventude	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
15.07.23	Juventude - ABC	1:1
26.09.17	ABC - Juventude	1:1
13.06.17	Juventude - ABC	3:0

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