Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 32

Date: 10 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Natal)

Referee: Raposo R. (Bra)


	ABC		Mirassol

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.8	3	1.8
	5	3	1.85	Watch
	5.44	3.12	1.88
	5	3.2	1.75
	5.3	3.18	1.79	Watch
	4.8	3.1	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (3.35)	3.1 ↑ (2.98)	1.82 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
18.5%

Draw
30.1%

Mirassol
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

31.2%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

30.1%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ABC's form might have worsened.

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirassol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ABC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirassol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	4.2%	91.7%

ABC - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Mirassol will win (votes: 22 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Michael (G) 8. Randerson 4. Habraao 55. Jhonnathan 2. Gedeilson 27. Nathan Melo 20. Ramon 10. Thonny Anderson 22. Andrey 11. Wallyson (C) 9. Paulo Sergio	1. Alex Muralha (G) 2. Lucas Ramon 4. Luiz Otavio 3. Rodrigo Sam 6. Guilherme Biro 5. Neto Moura 8. Danielzinho 7. Chico Kim 10. Gabriel (C) 9. Ze Roberto 11. Negueba
Substitutes
15. Afonso 51. Alemao 40. Barreto Gomes Y. R. (G) 5. Daniel 97. Evandro 7. Matheus Anjos 90. Matheus Refundini (G) 28. Wallace 14. Wellington Reis 31. Welliton	20. Camilo 12. Cesar Augusto (G) 19. Cristian Renato 17. Fernandinho 18. Julimar 16. Leandro Vilela 13. Rodrigo Ferreira 14. Thalisson Kelven 15. Yuri Lima
Coaches
Fuchs A.	Mozart

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 8).

ABC is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mirassol is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Mirassol is a favorite.

There will not play in ABC: Walfrido (Injury) Wellington (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches ABC won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams ABC won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie B
05.10.23	Chapecoense - ABC	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	ABC - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
25.09.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - ABC	2:1 ✺
15.09.23	ABC - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
07.09.23	Tombense - ABC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLLL
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
03.10.23	Mirassol - Londrina	2:0 ✺
28.09.23	Mirassol - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
22.09.23	Ponte Preta - Mirassol	0:3 ✺
16.09.23	Criciúma - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	Mirassol - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
25.06.23	Mirassol - ABC	3:2
Brazilian Serie C
08.10.22	Mirassol - ABC	2:0
01.10.22	ABC - Mirassol	0:0
12.06.22	ABC - Mirassol	1:0

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