Match Info

Serie B - Round 6

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Referee: Bauermann G. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Juventude		Londrina

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.9
	1.88	3.2	4.15
	1.93	3.35	4.7
	1.87	3.32	4.4	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.33
	1.93	3.2	4.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 (1.89)	3.24 ↑ (3.17)	4.26 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
49.4%

Draw
28.8%

Londrina
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

29.4%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

28.8%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Juventude have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Juventude - Londrina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Jandrei (G) 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 4. Messias 47. Marcos Paulo 2. Rai Ramos 8. Lucas Mineiro 75. Rai Silva 16. Diogo Barbosa 10. MP 17. Castro M. 9. Alan Kardec (C)	30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 2. Weverton 3. Yago Lincoln 4. Wallace (C) 33. Kevyn 8. Lucas Marques 5. Andre Luiz 32. Joao Tavares 19. Rodriguez E. 9. Bruno Santos 11. Iago Teles
Substitutes
25. Alisson Safira 11. Fabio Lima 79. Joao Scatolin 29. Junior C. 53. Kaynan 15. Leo Indio 5. Luan Martins 26. Ly I. 22. Nathan Santos 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam 3. Titi	17. Andre Cardoso 13. Andre Dhominique 53. Chumbinho 20. Fabiano 15. Gabriel Lacerda 10. Gilberto 34. Heron 1. Luan Ribeiro (G) 18. Paulinho Moccelin 6. Rafael Monteiro 7. Vitinho Mota
Coaches
Mauricio Barbieri	Aal A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Kevyn ↓, Rafael Monteiro ↑,
45+1', 1 - 0, MP ⚽, Alan Kardec (A),
45+3', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Castro M. ↓, Luan Martins ↑,
56', MP ↓, Fabio Lima ↑,
61', Luan Martins 🟨,
71', Andre Luiz 🟨,
71', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Alisson Safira ↑,
72', Rai Silva ↓, Ly I. ↑,
72', Rodriguez E. ↓, Paulinho Moccelin ↑,
72', Joao Tavares ↓, Gilberto ↑,
78', Kevyn 🟨,
79', Diogo Barbosa ↓, Titi ↑,
80', Rai Ramos 🟨,
82', Andre Luiz ↓, Fabiano ↑,
83', Weverton ↓, Andre Dhominique ↑,
90+3', Fabiano 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Juventude may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Juventude is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Juventude: Alan Ruschel (Muscle Injury) Pablo Roberto (Injury) Patryck (Inactive)

There will not play in Londrina: Vitinho Mota (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juventude	32	17	8	7	37:19	18	59
18	Londrina	32	7	7	18	40:47	-7	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Copa do Brasil
21.04.26	São Paulo - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.04.26	CRB Maceio - Juventude	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Juventude - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
11.04.26	Juventude - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Caxias - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWTWL
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
19.04.26	Londrina - Ceará	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Atlético Goianiense - Londrina	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Londrina - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Londrina - Goiás	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Londrina	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.10.23	Juventude - Londrina	2:2
28.06.23	Londrina - Juventude	1:2
27.09.18	Juventude - Londrina	0:0
08.06.18	Londrina - Juventude	0:1
13.10.17	Juventude - Londrina	0:2
24.06.17	Londrina - Juventude	2:2
Brazilian Serie C
16.08.15	Juventude - Londrina	1:3

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