Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 38

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	ABC		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.75	4	1.46
	7	4	1.47	Watch
	7.7	4.23	1.48
	7.73	4.27	1.45
	7.5	4	1.4
	7.4	4.15	1.46	Watch
	7	4	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.3 ↓ (8)	4.09 ↑ (4.03)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
12.8%

Draw
22.8%

Vila Nova
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

22.9%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3%

22.4%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

ABC - Vila Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: Vila Nova will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Michael (G) 22. Alex Silva 4. Habraao 30. Jhonnathan 16. Romario 15. Randerson 27. Nathan Melo 21. Ramon 31. Welliton 11. Wallyson 7. Matheus Anjos (C)	25. Denis Junior (G) 2. Marcelinho 5. Rafael Donato (C) 3. Doma 6. Rodrigo 18. Cristiano 10. Lourenco 17. Ronald 11. Juan Christian 9. Neto Pessoa 19. Caio Dantas
Substitutes
97. Anderson Cordeiro 12. Barreto Gomes Y. R. (G) 2. Gedeilson 33. Geovane 55. Goncalves G. D. 8. Jefinho 90. Matheus Refundini (G) 99. Thonny Anderson	16. Diego Renan 21. Everton Brito 91. Henrique Almeida 4. Jean Pierre 23. Joao Lucas 13. Leo Duarte 20. Luciano Naninho 7. Marlone 8. Ralf 22. Romarinho 15. Sousa 1. Vanderlei (G)
Coaches
Fuchs A.	Magalhaes H.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

ABC is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )

Recent matches ABC is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vila Nova is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

ABC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vila Nova is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in ABC: Bruno Lima (Injury) Walfrido (Injury) Wallyson (Injury) Wellington (Injury)

There will not play in Vila Nova: Guilherme Parede (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches ABC won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams ABC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie B
19.11.23	Guarani - ABC	2:3 ✺
14.11.23	ABC - Juventude	0:0 ✺
07.11.23	Criciúma - ABC	1:0 ✺
26.10.23	ABC - Avaí	1:1 ✺
19.10.23	Atlético Goianiense - ABC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WTLTL
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
18.11.23	Vila Nova - Ceará	3:1 ✺
10.11.23	Vila Nova - Londrina	4:1 ✺
05.11.23	Vitória Salvador - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	2:1 ✺
19.10.23	Tombense - Vila Nova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.07.23	Vila Nova - ABC	1:1
26.08.17	Vila Nova - ABC	2:0
27.05.17	ABC - Vila Nova	1:0
21.11.14	Vila Nova - ABC	3:5
23.08.14	ABC - Vila Nova	0:2

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