Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 33

Date: 19 October 2023, Thursday


	Tombense		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	2.9	2.4
	3.1	2.95	2.45	Watch
	3.42	2.91	2.52
	2.9	3.1	2.4
	3.13	3.13	2.38	Watch
	3.05	2.95	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.6)	2.99 ↑ (2.92)	2.43 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tombense
30.2%

Draw
31.3%

Vila Nova
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

31.7%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

31.6%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tombense's form might have worsened.

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vila Nova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tombense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vila Nova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	64.3%	7.1%

Tombense - Vila Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leo Lang (G) 22. Pedro Costa 3. Ednei 4. Roger Carvalho (C) 6. Guilherme Santos 5. Ze Ricardo 8. Bruninho 10. Matheus Frizzo 21. Kleiton 9. Fernandao 17. Keke	25. Denis Junior (G) 2. Leo Duarte 5. Rafael Donato (C) 3. Doma 6. Rodrigo 18. Cristiano 23. Igor Henrique 10. Lourenco 11. Juan Christian 19. Caio Dantas 77. Guilherme Parede
Substitutes
18. Alex Sandro 13. Augusto 14. Bruno Silva 16. Egidio 23. Jaderson 12. Jean (G) 15. Joao Pedro 11. Kevin 2. Lucas Marques 7. Marcelinho 19. Rafinha 20. Wesley	16. Diego Renan 21. Everton Brito 20. Gustavo Maia 91. Henrique Almeida 4. Jean Pierre 7. Marlone 22. Marquinhos Pedroso 9. Neto Pessoa 17. Ronald 15. Sousa 1. Vanderlei (G)
Coaches
Junior M.	Lisca

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 9).

Tombense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vila Nova is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tombense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Tombense: Wesley (Injury)

There will not play in Vila Nova: Ralf (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
14.10.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Tombense	0:0 ✺
07.10.23	Tombense - Juventude	1:1 ✺
29.09.23	Vitória Salvador - Tombense	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Tombense - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Guarani - Tombense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTLTL
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
11.10.23	Vila Nova - Botafogo SP	3:1 ✺
07.10.23	Guarani - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Vila Nova - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
19.09.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Vila Nova	2:1 ✺
15.09.23	Vila Nova - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
27.06.23	Vila Nova - Tombense	1:0
09.08.22	Tombense - Vila Nova	0:0
26.04.22	Vila Nova - Tombense	1:1

Upcoming Matches