Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 8

Date: 2 June 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Ponte Preta		Ypiranga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.4	5.5
	1.52	3.55	6.2	Watch
	1.53	3.65	6.65
	1.56	3.63	6.81	Watch
	1.57	3.3	6
	1.49	3.56	6.78	Watch
	1.52	3.55	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.72)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	6.31 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
59.6%

Draw
26%

Ypiranga
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.8%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

25.7%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ponte Preta's performance.

Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ypiranga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Ponte Preta - Ypiranga Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Ypiranga (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ponte Preta will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ponte Preta will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ponte Preta (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Ypiranga (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Diogo Silva (G) 15. Artur 14. Danilo Barcelos 21. Dudu 10. Elvis 7. Jean Dias 9. Jeh 2. Maguinho 37. Serginho 6. Sergio Raphael 34. Wanderson	40. Ze Carlos (C) 19. Caique 5. Charles Raphael 9. Cristiano 11. Felipe Marques 25. Gabriel Terra 36. Igor Morais 16. Lucas Ramos 22. Rian K. R. d. N. 7. Roger 3. Willian Gomes
Substitutes
77. Bruno Lopes 26. Concha V. 35. Diego Tavares 29. Everton Brito 99. Gustavo Vintecinco 20. Joao Gabriel 17. Jonas Toro 25. Lucas Candido 30. Matheus Kayser (G) 8. Miguel 28. Pacheco 5. Rodrigo Souza	34. Arthur Vellasque (G) 8. Clayton 99. Danielzinho 32. Fabao 23. Marlone 20. Maxuel Cassio 18. Montefiori T. 77. Pedrinho 2. Vitor Marinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Dudu 🟨,
33', Dudu 🟨,
36', Serginho ↓, Lucas Candido ↑,
43', Diogo Silva 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Igor Morais ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Elvis ↓, Everton Brito ↑,
46', Felipe Marques ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
48', Lucas Candido 🟨,
57', Roger 🟨,
59', Artur 🟨,
62', Danilo Barcelos ↓, Pacheco ↑,
63', Roger ↓, Vitor Marinho ↑,
63', Cristiano ↓, Maxuel Cassio ↑,
64', Gabriel Terra 🟨,
68', Vitor Marinho 🟨,
70', Lucas Ramos ↓, Fabao ↑,
70', Gabriel Terra ↓, Clayton ↑,
85', Jeh ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
85', Maguinho ↓, Gustavo Vintecinco ↑,
90+3', Caique 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 9).

Ponte Preta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ypiranga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Ponte Preta is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Ponte Preta will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie C
24.05.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Ponte Preta - Brusque	1:4 ✺
12.05.25	Ituano - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Ponte Preta - Anápolis	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Confiança - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWWW
- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
25.05.25	Ypiranga - Tombense	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Ypiranga - Náutico Capibaribe	0:4 ✺
10.05.25	Anápolis - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Ypiranga - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Brusque - Ypiranga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTWL

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