Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 16

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Filippo (Messina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253


	ACR Messina		Sorrento

	1	X	2
	2.65	3	2.4
	2.75	3.05	2.6
	2.83	2.96	2.59
	2.86	2.99	2.62
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.71	3.02	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3.05	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.43)	3.01 ↑ (3)	2.53 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
33.3%

Draw
30.4%

Sorrento
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

30%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

31.6%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Sorrento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ACR Messina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-5%)

ACR Messina - Sorrento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 21. Salvo G. 6. Manetta M. 15. Marino A. 98. Rizzo F. 8. Frisenna G. 31. Anzelmo D. 4. Garofalo V. 28. Pedicillo L. 9. Anatriello G. 11. Petrungaro L.	1. Del Sorbo L. (G) 2. Todisco G. 9. Blondett E. (C) 26. Di Somma V. 14. Panico C. 32. Colangiuli V. 15. De Francesco A. 5. Carotenuto G. 23. Cangianiello S. 10. Bolsius D. 11. Musso A.
Substitutes
25. Adragna G. 19. Cominetti M. 1. Curtosi F. (G) 22. Di Bella A. (G) 29. Di Palma M. 18. Luciani P. 5. Mame Ass N. 27. Mameli B. 10. Mamona B. 20. Morleo U. 24. Ortisi P. 16. Petrucci D. 17. Re A.	97. Albertazzi M. (G) 66. Cadili A. 19. Cardoselli C. 3. Colombini L. 8. Cuccurullo M. 6. Fusco F. 12. Harrasser S. 76. Lops F. 18. Polidori A. 17. Riccardi P. 44. Russo D. 16. Scala S. 33. Vitiello A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Panico C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pedicillo L. ↓, Mamona B. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Bolsius D. ⚽,
61', Panico C. ↓, Cuccurullo M. ↑,
70', Rizzo F. ↓, Ortisi P. ↑,
70', Petrungaro L. ↓, Cominetti M. ↑,
71', Manetta M. 🟨,
72', Colangiuli V. ↓, Colombini L. ↑,
79', Colombini L. 🟨,
79', Garofalo V. ↓, Luciani P. ↑,
79', Anatriello G. ↓, Re A. ↑,
90', Todisco G. ↓, Vitiello A. ↑,
90', Bolsius D. ↓, Riccardi P. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 11).

ACR Messina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sorrento is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sorrento could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
17.11.24	Altamura - ACR Messina	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	ACR Messina - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Catania - ACR Messina	0:0 ✺
31.10.24	ACR Messina - Cavese	1:3 ✺
27.10.24	Avellino - ACR Messina	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTLL
- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
16.11.24	Sorrento - Picerno	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Latina - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
04.11.24	Sorrento - Casertana	1:1 ✺
31.10.24	Juventus U23 - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Sorrento - Foggia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
14.02.24	ACR Messina - Sorrento	2:0
08.10.23	Sorrento - ACR Messina	1:0
Italian Lega Pro C2/B
13.04.14	ACR Messina - Sorrento	1:0
08.12.13	Sorrento - ACR Messina	1:3

Upcoming Matches