Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 28

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Filippo (Messina)


	ACR Messina		Fidelis Andria

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4
	1.9	3	3.4
	1.87	3.04	3.63
	1.91	2.9	4.2
	1.95	3.16	3.9	Watch
	2.07	3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.1)	3.02 ↑ (2.88)	3.78 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
46.6%

Draw
29.7%

Fidelis Andria
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

31.3%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

30.5%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Fidelis Andria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

ACR Messina - Fidelis Andria Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. ACR Messina will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Fidelis Andria will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ACR Messina: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 1.

Recent matches ACR Messina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fidelis Andria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

ACR Messina will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
12.02.23	Gelbison Cilento - ACR Messina	1:2
05.02.23	ACR Messina - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
01.02.23	Giugliano - ACR Messina	2:2 ✺
29.01.23	ACR Messina - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	ACR Messina - Avellino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLTTW
- Fidelis Andria
Italian Serie C Group C
12.02.23	Fidelis Andria - Pescara	0:0 ✺
05.02.23	Catanzaro - Fidelis Andria	4:0 ✺
01.02.23	Fidelis Andria - Virtus Francavilla	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Picerno - Fidelis Andria	3:1 ✺
22.01.23	Fidelis Andria - Taranto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
18.10.22	Fidelis Andria - ACR Messina	3:0
03.04.22	Fidelis Andria - ACR Messina	0:0
28.11.21	ACR Messina - Fidelis Andria	2:3
01.04.17	Fidelis Andria - ACR Messina	0:1
13.11.16	ACR Messina - Fidelis Andria	1:1
28.02.16	ACR Messina - Fidelis Andria	0:1
17.10.15	Fidelis Andria - ACR Messina	0:1

ACR Messina - Fidelis Andria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide