Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 23

Date: 20 January 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio San Filippo (Messina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 255, Sky Sport Max


	ACR Messina		Crotone

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.5	1.61
	4.2	3.35	1.64
	4.8	3.85	1.64
	4.89	3.81	1.67
	5	3.5	1.62
	5.9	4.38	1.43	Watch
	4.2	3.35	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (3.61)	3.68 ↑ (3.31)	1.61 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
18.9%

Draw
24.7%

Crotone
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

27%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

26%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ACR Messina's form might have worsened.

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crotone's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crotone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

ACR Messina - Crotone Predictions

Users Predictions: Crotone will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 7. Lia D. 15. Marino A. 24. Mame Ass N. 3. Ingrosso G. 4. Garofalo V. 16. Petrucci D. 23. Crimi M. 28. Pedicillo L. 18. Luciani P. 77. Dell'Aquila F.	22. D'Alterio F. (G) 18. Guerini A. 13. Armini N. 6. Di Pasquale D. 3. Giron M. 16. Gallo A. 21. Barberis A. 41. Silva J. 93. Tumminello M. 10. Vitale M. 9. Gomez G.
Substitutes
25. Adragna G. 31. Anzelmo D. 19. Cominetti M. 1. Curtosi F. (G) 9. De Sena C. 29. Di Palma M. 44. Dumbravanu D. 27. Mameli B. 40. Morichelli R. 20. Morleo U. 17. Re A. 21. Salvo G.	19. Cantisani R. 25. Cocetta N. 23. Groppelli F. 7. Oviszach E. 2. Piras M. 33. Rispoli A. 1. Sala A. (G) 38. Schiro T. 28. Spina M. 8. Stronati R. 77. Vilardi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', Armini N. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Tumminello M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Pedicillo L. ↓, Cominetti M. ↑,
59', Mame Ass N. 🟨,
60', 0 - 2, Tumminello M. ⚽,
63', Dell'Aquila F. ↓, Re A. ↑,
63', Petrucci D. ↓, Anzelmo D. ↑,
63', Mame Ass N. ↓, Morichelli R. ↑,
74', Tumminello M. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
74', Vitale M. ↓, Schiro T. ↑,
78', Crimi M. ↓, De Sena C. ↑,
84', Silva J. ↓, Vilardi M. ↑,
84', Guerini A. ↓, Piras M. ↑,
87', Gallo A. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 0.

ACR Messina is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crotone is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Crotone is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:15 (average 1:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
11.01.25	Taranto - ACR Messina	0:1 ✺
05.01.25	ACR Messina - Audace Cerignola	1:3 ✺
22.12.24	Potenza - ACR Messina	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Juventus U23 - ACR Messina	2:0 ✺
07.12.24	ACR Messina - Foggia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
12.01.25	Trapani - Crotone	0:3 ✺
04.01.25	Crotone - Cavese	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Altamura - Crotone	1:3 ✺
14.12.24	Turris - Crotone	0:5 ✺
08.12.24	Crotone - Casertana	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
14.09.24	Crotone - ACR Messina	2:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.08.24	Crotone - ACR Messina	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
06.03.24	ACR Messina - Crotone	0:1
29.10.23	Crotone - ACR Messina	3:3
23.12.22	Crotone - ACR Messina	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.22	Crotone - ACR Messina	3:2 penalties
Italian Serie C Group C
04.09.22	ACR Messina - Crotone	2:4

Upcoming Matches