Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 24

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto Pinto (Caserta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253


	Casertana		ACR Messina

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.4
	1.71	2.9	4.4
	1.82	3.3	5.46
	1.79	3.22	5.06
	1.75	3.25	4.6
	1.78	3.51	4.47	Watch
	1.71	2.9	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.88)	3.2 ↑ (3.05)	4.68 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
52%

Draw
28.5%

ACR Messina
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

29.1%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

27.5%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Casertana - ACR Messina Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Casertana will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). ACR Messina will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Casertana: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zanellati A. (G) 5. Llano Massa M. T. 44. Gatti R. 4. Kontek I. 3. Fabbri A. 8. Damian F. 19. Collodel R. 7. Carretta M. (C) 27. Proia F. 23. Egharevba D. 91. Vano M.	12. Krapikas T. (G) 7. Lia D. 44. Dumbravanu D. 15. Marino A. 3. Ingrosso G. 16. Petrucci D. (C) 37. Buchel M. 4. Garofalo V. 23. Crimi M. 18. Luciani P. 9. De Sena C.
Substitutes
90. Asencio R. 13. Bacchetti L. 99. Bakayoko A. 30. Bianchi S. 9. Bunino C. 77. Capasso C. 18. Deli F. 37. Falasca M. 33. Giugno L. 6. Heinz J. 21. Iuliano F. 32. Paglino S. 12. Pareiko D. (G) 22. Vilardi A. (G)	25. Adragna G. 31. Anzelmo D. 19. Cominetti M. 1. Curtosi F. (G) 8. Frisenna G. 14. Gyamfi B. 5. Mame Ass N. 27. Mameli B. 40. Morichelli R. 20. Morleo U. 17. Re A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Vano M. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, De Sena C. ⚽,
32', Llano Massa M. T. 🟨,
35', Lia D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Proia F. ↓, Paglino S. ↑,
53', Fabbri A. ↓, Falasca M. ↑,
55', Buchel M. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Egharevba D. ⚽,
68', De Sena C. ↓, Frisenna G. ↑,
71', Ingrosso G. ↓, Gyamfi B. ↑,
73', Carretta M. ↓, Bunino C. ↑,
75', Collodel R. 🟨,
79', Garofalo V. 🟨,
83', Buchel M. ↓, Anzelmo D. ↑,
84', Lia D. ↓, Morichelli R. ↑,
84', Egharevba D. ↓, Bakayoko A. ↑,
85', Dumbravanu D. 🟨,
90+1', Marino A. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Casertana won 0.

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Casertana is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Casertana won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:14 (average 1.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Casertana won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
20.01.25	Turris - Casertana	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Casertana - Picerno	0:1 ✺
04.01.25	Juventus U23 - Casertana	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Casertana - Latina	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Casertana - Trapani	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLL
- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
20.01.25	ACR Messina - Crotone	0:2 ✺
11.01.25	Taranto - ACR Messina	0:1 ✺
05.01.25	ACR Messina - Audace Cerignola	1:3 ✺
22.12.24	Potenza - ACR Messina	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Juventus U23 - ACR Messina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
20.09.24	ACR Messina - Casertana	2:2
14.01.24	Casertana - ACR Messina	0:2
11.10.23	ACR Messina - Casertana	1:1
12.03.17	Casertana - ACR Messina	0:0
23.10.16	ACR Messina - Casertana	2:1
30.04.16	ACR Messina - Casertana	1:1
21.12.15	Casertana - ACR Messina	4:1

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