Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 10

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Filippo (Messina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256


	ACR Messina		Monopoli

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.95	2.15
	3.2	3	2.3
	3.38	3	2.31
	3.4	2.94	2.32
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.25	2.98	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.81)	2.98 ↓ (3.1)	2.25 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
28.3%

Draw
30.8%

Monopoli
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

29.3%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

28.6%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Monopoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ACR Messina - Monopoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 7. Lia D. 98. Rizzo F. 6. Manetta M. (C) 77. Morleo U. 17. Re A. 8. Frisenna G. 4. Garofalo V. 28. Pedicillo L. 9. Anatriello G. 11. Petrungaro L.	1. Vitale S. (G) 19. De Risio C. 17. Cristallo C. 77. Viteritti O. 16. Valenti B. 21. Scipioni E. 8. Battocchio C. 10. Bulevardi D. 33. Yabre M. 45. Yeboah P. 9. Grandolfo F.
Substitutes
25. Adragna G. 1. Curtosi F. (G) 22. Di Bella A. (G) 29. Di Palma M. 5. Mame Ass N. 27. Mameli B. 10. Mamona B. 24. Ortisi P. 16. Petrucci D. 21. Salvo G.	98. Bruschi N. 20. Cascella R. 71. Cellamare C. 7. De Sena C. 53. De Vietro C. 32. Falzerano M. 12. Garofani G. (G) 44. Sibilano C. (G) 11. Vazquez F. 18. Virgilio P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Yabre M. 🟨,
37', Anatriello G. ↓, Mamona B. ↑,
45+2', Scipioni E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', De Risio C. ↓, Cascella R. ↑,
54', Cascella R. 🟨,
56', Garofalo V. 🟨,
67', Valenti B. ↓, Virgilio P. ↑,
67', Scipioni E. ↓, Falzerano M. ↑,
73', Re A. ↓, Petrucci D. ↑,
73', Morleo U. ↓, Ortisi P. ↑,
84', Yeboah P. ↓, Bruschi N. ↑,
85', Lia D. ↓, Di Palma M. ↑,
85', Grandolfo F. ↓, De Sena C. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 1.

Recent matches ACR Messina is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Monopoli is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

ACR Messina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Monopoli will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:14 (average 1.1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
11.10.24	Trapani - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	ACR Messina - Benevento	0:0 ✺
30.09.24	Picerno - ACR Messina	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Latina - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	ACR Messina - Casertana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TTLTT
- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
12.10.24	Monopoli - Crotone	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Altamura - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	Catania - Monopoli	1:0 ✺
26.09.24	Monopoli - Benevento	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Cavese - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
27.04.24	Monopoli - ACR Messina	2:1
22.12.23	ACR Messina - Monopoli	1:1
04.03.23	ACR Messina - Monopoli	0:1
30.10.22	Monopoli - ACR Messina	2:0
22.02.22	ACR Messina - Monopoli	2:1
12.09.21	Monopoli - ACR Messina	2:1
05.03.17	ACR Messina - Monopoli	1:0

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