Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 26

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Simonetta Lamberti (Cava de' Tirreni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio


	Cavese		Monopoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	2.98	2.78	Watch
	2.63	2.92	2.82
	2.56	2.70	3.13	Watch
	2.5	2.7	2.75
	2.56	2.82	2.72	Watch
	2.5	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.58)	2.84 ↓ (3.11)	2.87 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavese
35.8%

Draw
32.3%

Monopoli
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

29.4%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

28.9%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Cavese - Monopoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cavese will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Monopoli will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cavese (votes: 1 - 50%). Monopoli (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Cavese (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cavese (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Monopoli (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Boffelli V. (G) 3. Luciani A. 15. Cionek T. 17. Nunziata F. 70. Ubani M. 24. Orlando F. 5. Awua T. 20. Maiolo F. 33. Yabre M. 82. Fusco G. 7. Minaj E.	1. Albertazzi M. (G) 5. Angileri A. 26. Manzi C. 35. Piccinini S. 16. Valenti B. 19. Calcagni R. 8. Battocchio C. 70. Fedel G. 29. Antoni E. 11. Fall M. 9. Longo S.
Substitutes
73. Bolcano D. 11. Diarrassouba A. 13. Evangelisti N. 10. Fella G. 9. Gudjohnsen S. 45. Imparato C. 28. Macchi M. 23. Munari D. 99. Sposito A. (G) 16. Ubaldi L. 90. Visconti E.	37. Bordo L. 20. Cascella R. 25. Castiglione G. 14. Dudic D. 24. Gagliano M. (G) 31. Oyewale S. 18. Paukstys S. 22. Piana E. (G) 34. Ronco D. 21. Scipioni E. 85. Spano R. 7. Vinciguerra A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Fusco G. ⚽,
44', Fusco G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Calcagni R. ↓, Scipioni E. ↑,
56', Antoni E. ↓, Oyewale S. ↑,
62', Yabre M. ↓, Macchi M. ↑,
62', Maiolo F. ↓, Munari D. ↑,
62', Minaj E. ↓, Ubaldi L. ↑,
65', Battocchio C. 🟨,
68', Piccinini S. ↓, Vinciguerra A. ↑,
74', Fusco G. 🟨,
78', Orlando F. ↓, Diarrassouba A. ↑,
83', Fedel G. ↓, Bordo L. ↑,
83', Battocchio C. ↓, Dudic D. ↑,
85', Boffelli V. 🟨,
88', Munari D. 🟨,
90+2', Scipioni E. 🟨,
90+7', Vinciguerra A. 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavese won 1.

Recent form of Cavese has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Monopoli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cavese won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cavese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Monopoli	9	3	3	3	7:7	0	12
11	Cavese	8	3	2	3	14:14	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Cavese - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.43%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
06.02.26	Latina - Cavese	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Cavese - Casarano	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Giugliano - Cavese	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Cavese - Altamura	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Catania - Cavese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTTLL
- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
06.02.26	Altamura - Monopoli	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Monopoli - Latina	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Audace Cerignola - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Monopoli - Catania	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Monopoli - Siracusa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
28.09.25	Monopoli - Cavese	0:2
26.01.25	Monopoli - Cavese	3:1
21.09.24	Cavese - Monopoli	0:1
21.02.21	Monopoli - Cavese	1:0
25.10.20	Cavese - Monopoli	0:1
24.11.19	Cavese - Monopoli	1:0
20.04.19	Monopoli - Cavese	0:1

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