Match Info

Date: 22 October 2020, Thursday


	Napoli		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.25	6	12
	1.28	5.75	10.5
	1.25	6.2	12
	1.29	5.6	8.8
	1.29	5.87	10.87
	1.25	5.5	13
	1.33	5.9	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.17)	5.83 ↓ (7.76)	11.31 ↓ (14.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 0.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
75.1%

Draw
16.4%

AZ Alkmaar
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.1%

12.3%

6.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Napoli's form might have worsened.

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.9%	5.1%	8%

Napoli - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 137 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 119 - 86.9%). AZ will win (votes: 11 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 5.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 81.3% – 92.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Napoli has a good chance of round of 32 (89%), has a good chance of round of 16 (62%), has a chance of qtrs (39%), has a chance of semis (24%), has a small chance of final (14%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

AZ has a chance of round of 32 (22%), has a small chance of round of 16 (8%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Napoli in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches AZ is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Napoli have a series of home games.

In this match Napoli is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
17.10.20	Napoli - Atalanta	4:1 ✺
27.09.20	Napoli - Genoa	6:0 ✺
20.09.20	Parma - Napoli	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.09.20	Sporting Lisbon - Napoli	Canceled ✺
11.09.20	Napoli - Pescara	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWW?W
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
17.10.20	AZ Alkmaar - VVV-Venlo	2:2 ✺
04.10.20	Sparta Rotterdam - AZ Alkmaar	4:4 ✺
26.09.20	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	3:3 ✺
19.09.20	AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.09.20	Dynamo Kyiv - AZ Alkmaar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TTTTL

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