Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 11

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	Sportsnet+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
France	DAZN France
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Triller TV+


	Sparta Rotterdam		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.2	1.73	Watch
	4.25	4.15	1.72
	3.69	3.86	1.89	Watch
	4.32	4.21	1.75	Watch
	4.1	4.1	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.7)	4.1 ↑ (3.75)	1.77 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sparta Rotterdam
23.1%

Draw
23.1%

AZ Alkmaar
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

25.3%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

25.8%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	31.2%	56.2%

Sparta Rotterdam - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). AZ will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Drommel J. (G) 2. Sambo S. 3. Young M. 4. Martins Indi B. (C) 5. Quintero T. 8. Toornstra J. 6. Clement P. 7. van Bergen M. 10. Duijvestijn L. 11. Oufkir A. 9. Lauritsen T.	1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 30. Kasius D. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 34. de Wit M. 6. Koopmeiners P. 10. Mijnans S. (C) 26. Smit K. 7. Weslley Patati 9. Parrott T. 17. Jensen I.
Substitutes
12. Bakari S. 20. Bednarek F. (G) 16. de Guzman J. 18. Kitolano J. 13. Kleijn M. 30. Kuiper P. (G) 17. Ltaief S. 22. Santos A. 21. Seedorf J. 19. Thorisson N. 15. van Aanholt P. 14. Velthuis T.	15. Chavez Garcia M. 27. Daal R. 4. Dekker M. 22. Dijkstra E. 21. Kwakman D. 14. Natali A. 11. Sadiq I. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 25. Zeefuik L. 41. Zoet J. (G)
Coaches
Steijn M.	Martens M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Parrott T. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Toornstra J. ↓, Kitolano J. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Smit K. ⚽, Jensen I. (A),
73', Clement P. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
79', Lauritsen T. 🟨,
79', Goes W. 🟨,
80', Smit K. ↓, Kwakman D. ↑,
80', Weslley Patati ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
81', Parrott T. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
84', Quintero T. ↓, Thorisson N. ↑,
84', Oufkir A. ↓, de Guzman J. ↑,
89', van Bergen M. ↓, Seedorf J. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

AZ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, AZ is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Kitolano J. (Inactive) Mito S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in AZ: Clasie J. (Inactive) Maikuma S. (Knee Injury) Meerdink M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sparta Rotterdam: Clement P. (Injury) van Aanholt P. (Injury)

There are questionable in AZ: Koopmeiners P. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:34. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Rotterdam won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen	5:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Telstar	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax	3:3 ✺
27.09.25	Heracles Almelo - Sparta Rotterdam	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWTL
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
26.10.25	AZ Alkmaar - Utrecht	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	AZ Alkmaar - Slovan Bratislava	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.25	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	AZ Alkmaar - Telstar	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	AEK Larnaca - AZ Alkmaar	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
26.01.25	AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Rotterdam	1:2
24.11.24	Sparta Rotterdam - AZ Alkmaar	1:2
02.03.24	Sparta Rotterdam - AZ Alkmaar	1:1
17.09.23	AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Rotterdam	2:0
08.04.23	AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Rotterdam	0:1
14.08.22	Sparta Rotterdam - AZ Alkmaar	2:3
30.04.22	Sparta Rotterdam - AZ Alkmaar	1:1

Upcoming Matches