Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 3

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: WerkTalent Stadion (Den Haag) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	20:00	Canal+, ESPN 2


	ADO Den Haag		Vitesse

	1	X	2
	1.41	5	5.75	Watch
	1.43	4.6	5.75
	1.43	5.12	6.28
	1.42	5.17	6.06	Watch
	1.4	4.6	6
	1.41	4.85	6.33	Watch
	1.42	4.5	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.31)	4.83 ↓ (5.25)	6.07 ↓ (8.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

ADO Den Haag
65.5%

Draw
19.2%

Vitesse
15.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.2%

17.8%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76%

16.7%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ADO Den Haag's form might have worsened.

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADO Den Haag, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

ADO Den Haag - Vitesse Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: ADO Den Haag will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): ADO Den Haag will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nikiema K. (G) 2. van der Sloot S. 15. Hokke M. 4. Waem M. 18. Sylla S. 8. Vlak J. 25. Kilo J. 27. Thomas N. 14. Jimenez M. 21. Peupion C. 19. Reischl L.	16. van den Berg C. (G) 24. Markelo N. 17. Zumberi V. 35. Achouitar O. 28. Buttner A. 6. Schikora M. 19. Tahaui A. 33. Marschalk M. 13. Pinto J. 20. Bannis N. 7. Hoogewerf D.
Substitutes
23. Bal J. 16. de Bruin F. 26. de Ruijter I. 22. Eekhout S. (G) . Fiabema B. 5. Kreekels M. 24. Lejoly A. (G) 31. Payne D. 35. Puljhun S. 11. Rottier E. 45. Tomas D.	2. Bonnah S. 30. Driezen M. 9. Huth E. 8. Moustafa A. 34. Ouallil Y. 11. Ranon Y. 21. Schwarz R. 23. Siecker J. (G) 38. te Veluwe K. 36. Tevreden D. (G) 22. Thenu X. 27. Zonneveld N.
Coaches
Peter R.	Rehm R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Thomas N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hokke M. ↓, Tomas D. ↑,
58', Peupion C. ↓, van Mieghem D. ↑,
58', Jimenez M. ↓, Rottier E. ↑,
58', Reischl L. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
70', Thomas N. ↓, de Ruijter I. ↑,
77', Tahaui A. ↓, Schwarz R. ↑,
80', Schwarz R. 🟨,
84', Buttner A. ↓, Thenu X. ↑,
84', Bannis N. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
90+2', Pinto J. ↓, Huth E. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Den Haag is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:28. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Den Haag won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Vitesse	12	5	2	5	16:17	-1	17

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Vitesse: 2.3%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.01.26	Vitesse - ADO Den Haag	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	ADO Den Haag - Cambuur	1:2 ✺
19.12.25	ADO Den Haag - Jong PSV	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	FC Oss - ADO Den Haag	3:4 ✺
05.12.25	ADO Den Haag - Emmen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW
- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.01.26	Vitesse - ADO Den Haag	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Helmond Sport - Vitesse	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Den Bosch - Vitesse	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Vitesse - Waalwijk	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Vitesse - FC Oss	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.01.26	Vitesse - ADO Den Haag	2:1
14.03.25	Vitesse - ADO Den Haag	0:1
08.11.24	ADO Den Haag - Vitesse	2:0
Dutch Eredivisie
09.04.21	Vitesse - ADO Den Haag	0:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.01.21	Vitesse - ADO Den Haag	2:1
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.20	ADO Den Haag - Vitesse	0:2
Club Friendly
22.08.20	ADO Den Haag - Vitesse	2:2

Upcoming Matches