Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 17

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: WerkTalent Stadion (Den Haag)

Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	ADO Den Haag		De Graafschap

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.75	4.75	Watch
	1.49	4.95	4.95
	1.5	5.15	5.41
	1.39	5.08	6.48	Watch
	1.46	4.85	5.48	Watch
	1.47	5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.39)	4.96 ↓ (5.08)	5.35 ↓ (6.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADO Den Haag
63.7%

Draw
18.8%

De Graafschap
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

18.4%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

17.6%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADO Den Haag, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Den Haag will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Den Haag: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Den Haag (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): ADO Den Haag will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Haag (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nikiema K. (G) 2. van der Sloot S. 15. Hokke M. 45. Tomas D. 18. Sylla S. 25. Kilo J. 8. Vlak J. (C) 7. van Mieghem D. 11. Rottier E. 21. Peupion C. 19. Reischl L.	1. Wieggers T. (G) 4. Raterink O. 3. Besselink R. 18. Bultman S. 21. Symons K. 24. Meerstadt J. 10. Niemeijer R. (C) 8. Gijselhart T. 7. Simons J. 28. Boersma B. 11. El Kadiri I.
Substitutes
23. Bal J. 35. Bergtop S. 30. Brandt J. 16. de Bruin F. 14. Jimenez M. 29. Kramer C. (G) 5. Kreekels M. 24. Lejoly A. (G) 49. Silva-Richards R. 27. Thomas N. 4. Waem M.	20. Braem T. 32. Broker S. 22. de Jong F. 25. Jonkers R. (G) 17. Kaninda N. 12. Kremers S. (G) 5. Schoppema L. 6. Smits M. 9. Theodoridis D.
Coaches
Peter R.	Dijkhuizen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Vlak J. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Boersma B. ⚽,
28', Gijselhart T. 🟨,
35', Tomas D. 🟨,
37', 1 - 2, Boersma B. ⚽, Raterink O. (A),
44', van der Sloot S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sylla S. ↓, Kreekels M. ↑,
46', Tomas D. ↓, Waem M. ↑,
65', Simons J. 🟨,
66', van der Sloot S. ↓, Jimenez M. ↑,
66', Peupion C. ↓, Thomas N. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Waem M. ⚽, van Mieghem D. (A),
69', Simons J. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
75', 3 - 2, Vlak J. ⚽,
79', Nikiema K. 🟨,
80', Meerstadt J. ↓, Theodoridis D. ↑,
81', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
83', van Mieghem D. ↓, Bal J. ↑,
87', Bultman S. ↓, Smits M. ↑,
90+2', Kreekels M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 3.

Recent performances by Den Haag have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

De Graafschap is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Den Haag is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Den Haag: de Ruijter I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Den Haag won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.11.25	Cambuur - ADO Den Haag	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	ADO Den Haag - Roda	4:0 ✺
02.11.25	MVV Maastricht - ADO Den Haag	3:4 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	Den Bosch - ADO Den Haag	4:3 penalties ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
25.10.25	ADO Den Haag - Den Bosch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLW
- De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.11.25	De Graafschap - Helmond Sport	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Waalwijk - De Graafschap	1:4 ✺
31.10.25	Den Bosch - De Graafschap	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	GVVV - De Graafschap	4:2 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	De Graafschap - Jong PSV	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.02.25	De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag	1:2
25.10.24	ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap	1:2
18.05.24	ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap	2:2
14.05.24	De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag	2:3
12.01.24	ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap	5:3
11.08.23	De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag	0:0
21.04.23	De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag	0:1

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