Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 16

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: De Vijverberg (Doetinchem)

Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4


	De Graafschap		Helmond Sport

	1	X	2
	1.81	4.1	3.6	Watch
	1.85	3.95	3.55
	1.84	4.15	3.63
	1.73	4.33	3.85	Watch
	1.84	3.85	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.73)	4.08 ↓ (4.33)	3.67 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

De Graafschap
51.6%

Draw
22.9%

Helmond Sport
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

21.6%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

21.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

De Graafschap - Helmond Sport Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: De Graafschap will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): De Graafschap will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wieggers T. (G) 4. Raterink O. 3. Besselink R. 18. Bultman S. 21. Symons K. 24. Meerstadt J. 10. Niemeijer R. (C) 8. Gijselhart T. 26. van der Heide A. 28. Boersma B. 11. El Kadiri I.	1. Bergsen M. (G) 24. Et Taibi A. 3. Van Den Eynden F. 28. Vos D. 5. Poll T. 26. Makanza N. 8. Llonch P. (C) 36. Leipold A. 11. Daneels L. 34. Essakkati T. 9. Bajrami L.
Substitutes
20. Braem T. 32. Broker S. 22. de Jong F. 25. Jonkers R. (G) 17. Kaninda N. 12. Kremers S. (G) 5. Schoppema L. 7. Simons J. 6. Smits M. 9. Theodoridis D.	23. Aben K. (G) 27. Absalem A. 22. Dizdarevic A. 47. Geerts D. 41. Geerts J. 19. Ingason H. 4. Koglin B. 6. Ludwig M. 16. Lukowicz M. 2. Ogenia J. 21. Wentges H. (G)
Coaches
Dijkhuizen M.	Seegers J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, van der Heide A. ⚽, Raterink O. (A),
37', Llonch P. ↓, Dizdarevic A. ↑,
40', Boersma B. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Essakkati T. ↓, Absalem A. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Raterink O. ⚽, van der Heide A. (A),
61', Bajrami L. ↓, Lukowicz M. ↑,
62', 3 - 0, Niemeijer R. ⚽, El Kadiri I. (A),
67', 3 - 1, Daneels L. (Pen),
68', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
68', Gijselhart T. ↓, Braem T. ↑,
78', Boersma B. ↓, Theodoridis D. ↑,
79', van der Heide A. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
79', Poll T. ↓, Geerts J. ↑,
79', Leipold A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
86', El Kadiri I. ↓, Smits M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 3.

De Graafschap is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Helmond Sport's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, De Graafschap is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:20. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.11.25	Waalwijk - De Graafschap	1:4 ✺
31.10.25	Den Bosch - De Graafschap	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	GVVV - De Graafschap	4:2 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	De Graafschap - Jong PSV	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	De Graafschap - FC Oss	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWT
- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
08.11.25	Helmond Sport - Jong PSV	2:3 ✺
31.10.25	FC Oss - Helmond Sport	0:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	Helmond Sport - Zwolle	1:4 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Helmond Sport - Dordrecht	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Den Bosch - Helmond Sport	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.05.25	Helmond Sport - De Graafschap	1:4
13.09.24	De Graafschap - Helmond Sport	2:3
16.02.24	Helmond Sport - De Graafschap	3:1
18.09.23	De Graafschap - Helmond Sport	2:1
06.03.23	De Graafschap - Helmond Sport	2:0
18.11.22	Helmond Sport - De Graafschap	0:2
22.04.22	Helmond Sport - De Graafschap	0:4

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