Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mandemakers Stadion (Waalwijk) 🌤️ ...

Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	16:45	Canal+, ESPN 1


	Waalwijk		De Graafschap

	1	X	2
	2.01	4.1	2.95	Watch
	2.02	4.15	2.98
	2.09	4.18	3.1
	30.00	15.55	1.01	Watch
	2.06	4	2.96	Watch
	2.05	3.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.71 ↑ (2.14)	5.97 ↑ (3.85)	2.65 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waalwijk
21.5%

Draw
24.1%

De Graafschap
54.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.5%

24.2%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

23.9%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Waalwijk's form might have worsened.

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting De Graafschap's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+22.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Waalwijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-22.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for De Graafschap, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Waalwijk - De Graafschap Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Graafschap will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Graafschap (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Spenkelink M. (G) 55. Held N. 3. van Eijma R. 15. Wouters L. 5. Familia-Castillo J. 8. van Kaam D. 6. Roemeratoe G. (C) 7. Cleonise D. 10. van der Venne R. 27. Altena J. 9. Uneken J.	1. Wieggers T. (G) 4. Raterink O. 3. Besselink R. 18. Bultman S. 21. Symons K. 24. Meerstadt J. 10. Niemeijer R. (C) 8. Gijselhart T. 7. Simons J. 28. Boersma B. 11. El Kadiri I.
Substitutes
29. Kramer M. 17. Kuijpers R. 20. Kuster H. 14. Lokesa C. 13. Mulder X. (G) 24. Panneflek O. 35. Postma L. 21. Schaapman M. 11. van der Leij T. 31. Vogels L. (G) 25. Witteveen M. 2. Zorgdrager B.	20. Braem T. 32. Broker S. 22. de Jong F. 25. Jonkers R. (G) 12. Kremers S. (G) 5. Schoppema L. 6. Smits M. 9. Theodoridis D. 26. van der Heide A.
Coaches
Duits S.	Dijkhuizen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Boersma B. ⚽, Symons K. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Symons K. ⚽, Simons J. (A),
44', 0 - 3, El Kadiri I. ⚽, Bultman S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', van der Venne R. 🟨,
63', Held N. ↓, Kuijpers R. ↑,
63', van der Venne R. ↓, Lokesa C. ↑,
68', Boersma B. 🟨,
71', Simons J. ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
73', Wouters L. 🟨,
75', Roemeratoe G. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
76', van Kaam D. ↓, Kuster H. ↑,
78', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
78', Boersma B. ↓, Theodoridis D. ↑,
85', Gijselhart T. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
86', Niemeijer R. ↓, Braem T. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, van der Leij T. ⚽, Kuijpers R. (A),
90+1', 1 - 4, van der Heide A. ⚽, de Jong F. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.

Waalwijk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

De Graafschap's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

De Graafschap may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Waalwijk could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.11.25	Emmen - Waalwijk	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.25	Waalwijk - Cambuur	3:2 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Waalwijk - Cambuur	4:2 ✺
20.10.25	Dordrecht - Waalwijk	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Waalwijk - Willem II	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWWWL
- De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie
31.10.25	Den Bosch - De Graafschap	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	GVVV - De Graafschap	4:2 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	De Graafschap - Jong PSV	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	De Graafschap - FC Oss	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Cambuur - De Graafschap	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.03.18	De Graafschap - Waalwijk	1:0
02.09.17	Waalwijk - De Graafschap	0:0
07.04.17	De Graafschap - Waalwijk	4:0
25.11.16	Waalwijk - De Graafschap	2:1
09.02.15	Waalwijk - De Graafschap	0:5
25.08.14	De Graafschap - Waalwijk	1:1
11.05.14	Waalwijk - De Graafschap	1:1

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