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Current Win Probability
Waalwijk 21.5%
Draw 24.1%
De Graafschap 54.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.5%
24.2%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
23.9%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Waalwijk's form might have worsened.
De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting De Graafschap's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+22.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Waalwijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-22.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for De Graafschap, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Waalwijk - De Graafschap Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Spenkelink M. (G) 55. Held N. 3. van Eijma R. 15. Wouters L. 5. Familia-Castillo J. 8. van Kaam D. 6. Roemeratoe G. (C) 7. Cleonise D. 10. van der Venne R. 27. Altena J. 9. Uneken J.
1. Wieggers T. (G) 4. Raterink O. 3. Besselink R. 18. Bultman S. 21. Symons K. 24. Meerstadt J. 10. Niemeijer R. (C) 8. Gijselhart T. 7. Simons J. 28. Boersma B. 11. El Kadiri I.
Substitutes
29. Kramer M. 17. Kuijpers R. 20. Kuster H. 14. Lokesa C. 13. Mulder X. (G) 24. Panneflek O. 35. Postma L. 21. Schaapman M. 11. van der Leij T. 31. Vogels L. (G) 25. Witteveen M. 2. Zorgdrager B.
20. Braem T. 32. Broker S. 22. de Jong F. 25. Jonkers R. (G) 12. Kremers S. (G) 5. Schoppema L. 6. Smits M. 9. Theodoridis D. 26. van der Heide A.
Coaches
Duits S.
Dijkhuizen M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Boersma B. ⚽, Symons K. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Symons K. ⚽, Simons J. (A),
44', 0 - 3, El Kadiri I. ⚽, Bultman S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', van der Venne R. 🟨,
63', Held N. ↓, Kuijpers R. ↑,
63', van der Venne R. ↓, Lokesa C. ↑,
68', Boersma B. 🟨,
71', Simons J. ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
73', Wouters L. 🟨,
75', Roemeratoe G. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
76', van Kaam D. ↓, Kuster H. ↑,
78', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
78', Boersma B. ↓, Theodoridis D. ↑,
85', Gijselhart T. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
86', Niemeijer R. ↓, Braem T. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, van der Leij T. ⚽, Kuijpers R. (A),
90+1', 1 - 4, van der Heide A. ⚽, de Jong F. (A),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.
Waalwijk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
De Graafschap's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
De Graafschap may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Waalwijk could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
Netherlands
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Spenkelink M. (G) 
Held N. 
Familia-Castillo J. 
El Kadiri I. 
Lokesa C. 
Theodoridis D. 
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