Match Info

Date: 28 November 2020, Saturday


	ADO Den Haag		Heerenveen

	1	X	2
	5.25	5	1.5	Watch
	5.25	4.75	1.53
	5	4.7	1.56	Watch
	5.2	4.5	1.53
	5.24	4.9	1.57
	5.5	4.5	1.52	Watch
	5.45	4.6	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.27 ↑ (4.4)	4.71 ↑ (4.21)	1.54 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADO Den Haag
18%

Draw
20.2%

Heerenveen
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

22.5%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

18.2%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heerenveen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heerenveen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.2%	3%	81.8%

ADO Den Haag - Heerenveen Predictions

Users Predictions: Heerenveen will win (54 of 66 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.52% – 91.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Den Haag has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Heerenveen has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Den Haag is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Heerenveen is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Heerenveen is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Den Haag won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Den Haag won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eredivisie
22.11.20	Sparta Rotterdam - ADO Den Haag	6:0 ✺
07.11.20	ADO Den Haag - Twente	2:4 ✺
01.11.20	PSV Eindhoven - ADO Den Haag	4:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.20	ADO Den Haag - Sparta Rotterdam	2:1 penalties ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.20	ADO Den Haag - AZ Alkmaar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLWT
- SC Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie
22.11.20	Waalwijk - Heerenveen	1:1 ✺
08.11.20	Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar	0:3 ✺
01.11.20	Sparta Rotterdam - Heerenveen	1:4 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
27.10.20	Heerenveen - FC Oss	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
24.10.20	Heerenveen - Emmen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
22.02.20	Heerenveen - ADO Den Haag	2:2
03.11.19	ADO Den Haag - Heerenveen	1:1
09.03.19	ADO Den Haag - Heerenveen	2:3
29.09.18	Heerenveen - ADO Den Haag	1:1
17.04.18	Heerenveen - ADO Den Haag	2:0
26.08.17	ADO Den Haag - Heerenveen	1:2
14.01.17	Heerenveen - ADO Den Haag	2:0

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