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Current Win Probability
Heerenveen 24.9%
Draw 23.7%
AZ Alkmaar 51.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
22.4%
53.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.6%
22.5%
53%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
16.7%
63.3%
Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 6 - 20%). AZ will win (votes: 19 - 63.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 46.1% – 80.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1 - Heerenveen (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Heerenveen (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AZ Alkmaar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 2 - 40%). AZ (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Klaverboer B. (G) 45. Braude O. 4. Kersten S. 3. Willemsen M. (C) 19. Zagaritis V. 36. Courtens N. 6. Proper D. 20. Trenskow J. 10. Meerveld R. 7. Rivera M. 9. Vente D.
28. De Busser J. (G) 22. Dijkstra E. 3. Goes W. 4. Schouten L. 5. Chavez Garcia M. 8. Clasie J. (C) 6. Koopmeiners P. 7. Weslley Patati 21. Kwakman D. 11. Daal R. 9. Meerdink M.
Substitutes
23. Bladi D. 49. Bouziane A. 21. Farji M. 29. Machine L. 44. Noppert A. (G) 11. Oyen L. 28. Petrov H. 41. Scholten J. 30. Schreuder T. (G) 14. Smans L. 17. Uldrikis R.
17. Byskov V. 75. de Wit H. 34. de Wit M. 19. Hornkamp J. 31. Ichihara R. 71. Ka I. (G) 18. Kovacs B. 2. Maikuma S. 20. Natali A. 24. Oufkir A. 1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 14. Stengs C.
Coaches
Veldman R.
Echteld L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Daal R. ⚽, Goes W. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Courtens N. ⚽, Vente D. (A),
28', Courtens N. 🟨,
30', 2 - 1, Meerveld R. ⚽, Proper D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Weslley Patati ↓, Stengs C. ↑,
46', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, de Wit M. ↑,
54', Daal R. 🟨,
64', Clasie J. ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
68', Rivera M. ↓, Oyen L. ↑,
68', Vente D. ↓, Uldrikis R. ↑,
68', Dijkstra E. ↓, Maikuma S. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Meerdink M. ⚽, Byskov V. (A),
74', Proper D. ↓, Smans L. ↑,
82', Daal R. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, Oufkir A. ⚽, Meerdink M. (A),
88', Courtens N. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
90+1', Oufkir A. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 2.
Recent performances by Heerenveen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
AZ is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
AZ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, AZ is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Heerenveen: Egbring M.
(Injury)
Hilgers M.
(Knee Injury)
Linday M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in AZ: Kasius D.
(Groin Injury)
Resink S.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 26:52. (average 1.3:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.4:2).
Argentina
Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Canada
Croatia
Germany
Greece
Israel
Mexico
Netherlands
Peru
Serbia
Slovenia
United-arab-emirates
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
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Klaverboer B. (G) 
Braude O. 
Zagaritis V. 
Courtens N. 
Trenskow J. 
Rivera M. 
Vente D. 
Chavez Garcia M. 
Weslley Patati 
Farji M. 
Petrov H. 
Uldrikis R. 
Ichihara R. 
Kovacs B. 
Natali A. 
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