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Current Win Probability
ADO Den Haag 48%
Draw 24.7%
Cambuur 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.1%
23%
20.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.5%
22.1%
20%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ADO Den Haag's form might have worsened.
Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cambuur's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADO Den Haag, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cambuur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
22.2%
22.2%
ADO Den Haag - Cambuur Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Den Haag will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Cambuur will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Den Haag: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nikiema K. (G) 5. Jensen-Abbew J. 3. Mulder P. (C) 4. Waem M. 15. Hokke M. 17. Hawkins J. 25. Kilo J. 33. Sin M. 27. Thomas N. 46. Eduardo Y. 11. Rottier E.
1. Jansen T. (G) 2. Bouah D. 4. Baouf I. (C) 14. van Duijl B. 28. Costarelli M. 33. Maertens M. 8. Souren N. 15. Kvam F. 10. El Arguioui R. 11. Hamache I. 7. Bouhoudane S.
Substitutes
9. Bal J. 77. Barany D. 16. de Bruin F. 10. de Ruijter I. 12. Eekhout S. (G) 2. Raterink O. 18. Sylla S. 23. Thiede N. (G) 7. van Mieghem D. 22. Wilhelm L. 8. Zamburek J.
6. Amofa J. 17. Apkakou E. 3. Berkhout J. 30. Ceka J. 29. Henstra I. 23. Jetten L. 27. Kooistra W. 21. Meijster J. (G) 16. Mulders R. 22. Plogmann L. (G) 9. Vink S. 48. Westerhof D.
Coaches
Peter R.
Plat J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Thomas N. 🟨,
28', Thomas N. ↓, van Mieghem D. ↑,
44', 0 - 1, Kvam F. ⚽, Bouhoudane S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Bouhoudane S. ↓, Kooistra W. ↑,
69', Jensen-Abbew J. ↓, Raterink O. ↑,
69', Sin M. ↓, Barany D. ↑,
69', Hawkins J. ↓, Bal J. ↑,
71', Maertens M. 🟨,
73', Hamache I. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
73', Kvam F. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
73', Maertens M. ↓, Amofa J. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Barany D. ⚽, Eduardo Y. (A),
81', Hokke M. ↓, Sylla S. ↑,
83', Waem M. 🟨,
83', Bouah D. ↓, Apkakou E. ↑,
90', Kooistra W. 🟨,
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 18th in the Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 0.
Den Haag is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Cambuur is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bookmakers give the edge to Den Haag for this game.
Confirmed absences for Den Haag: Peupion C.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Cambuur: Asselman W.
(Inactive)
Visser D.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Den Haag: Jimenez M.
(Injury).
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Den Haag has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:24 (averaging 1.6:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Den Haag against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 13:15 goals (averaging 1.9:2.1 per game).
Netherlands
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Nikiema K. (G) 
Jensen-Abbew J. 
Mulder P. (C) 
Waem M. 
Hawkins J. 
Kilo J. 
Sin M. 
Thomas N. 
Bouah D. 
Baouf I. (C) 
Costarelli M. 
Kvam F. 
Barany D. 
Sylla S. 
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