Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 7

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam)

Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Sparta Rotterdam		Heerenveen

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.75	2.55	Watch
	2.40	3.80	2.60
	2.52	3.6	2.62
	2.55	3.95	2.64
	2.48	3.83	2.58	Watch
	2.5	3.8	2.55
	2.45	3.78	2.71	Watch
	2.42	3.75	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.37)	3.78 ↑ (3.68)	2.6 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Rotterdam
38.3%

Draw
25.1%

Heerenveen
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

25.4%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

24.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	21.1%	36.8%

Sparta Rotterdam - Heerenveen Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 19.9% – 64.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 1 - 50%). Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brouwer M. (G) 2. Martes L. 3. Young M. 4. Martins Indi B. (C) 5. Kuipers B. 6. Baas J. 8. Hatenboer C. 7. Terho C. 10. Babadi I. 11. Ideho J. 9. Zonneveld M.	22. Klaverboer B. (G) 45. Braude O. 4. Kersten S. 3. Willemsen M. (C) 19. Zagaritis V. 16. Linday M. 14. Smans L. 20. Trenskow J. 36. Courtens N. 7. Rivera M. 9. Vente D.
Substitutes
20. Bednarek F. (G) 19. Kostic A. 30. Kuiper P. (G) 16. Quintero T. 12. Reith B. 18. Roaldsoy A. 21. Toornstra J. 17. van Cruijsen R. 14. Verschuren N. 22. Vianello G.	23. Bladi D. 49. Bouziane A. 21. Farji M. 29. Machine L. 10. Meerveld R. 44. Noppert A. (G) 11. Oyen L. 28. Petrov H. 41. Scholten J. 30. Schreuder T. (G) 17. Uldrikis R.
Coaches
Meijer R.	Veldman R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', Baas J. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Courtens N. ⚽, Smans L. (A),
43', 0 - 2, Trenskow J. ⚽, Rivera M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 3, Rivera M. ⚽, Smans L. (A),
61', Young M. 🟨,
62', Martins Indi B. ↓, van Cruijsen R. ↑,
62', Babadi I. ↓, Verschuren N. ↑,
62', Ideho J. ↓, Quintero T. ↑,
62', Baas J. ↓, Kostic A. ↑,
72', Martes L. ↓, Reith B. ↑,
73', Trenskow J. ↓, Oyen L. ↑,
73', Smans L. ↓, Farji M. ↑,
75', 0 - 4, Farji M. ⚽, Oyen L. (A),
80', Vente D. ↓, Uldrikis R. ↑,
80', Linday M. ↓, Meerveld R. ↑,
85', Courtens N. ↓, Bouziane A. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 12th and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 2.

Sparta Rotterdam has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Heerenveen has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Heerenveen may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Sparta Rotterdam: Mito S. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Heerenveen: Egbring M. (Injury) Hilgers M. (Knee Injury) Linday M. (Inactive) Proper D. (Injury).

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Sparta Rotterdam has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:24 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sparta Rotterdam against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:11 goals (averaging 1.8:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Heerenveen	8	2	3	3	11:11	0	9
12	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	13:20	-7	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
13.09.26	PSV Eindhoven - Sparta Rotterdam	4:1 ✺
04.09.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Utrecht	3:3 ✺
14.08.26	Telstar - Sparta Rotterdam	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLTW
- SC Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie
13.09.26	Heerenveen - Telstar	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Willem II - Heerenveen	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Heerenveen - Zwolle	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Ajax - Heerenveen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
28.02.26	Heerenveen - Sparta Rotterdam	2:1
14.12.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Heerenveen	0:3
12.04.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Heerenveen	3:1
26.10.24	Heerenveen - Sparta Rotterdam	2:0
19.05.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Heerenveen	2:1
27.08.23	Heerenveen - Sparta Rotterdam	1:3
15.04.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Heerenveen	4:0

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