Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 10 October 2024, Thursday


	ADO Den Haag		NAC Breda

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.43
	1.84	3.77	3.57	Watch
	1.91	3.92	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.59)	3.76 ↓ (3.83)	3.55 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADO Den Haag
49.2%

Draw
24.6%

NAC Breda
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

24.4%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

24.3%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADO Den Haag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADO Den Haag's performance.

NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NAC Breda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADO Den Haag that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NAC Breda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

ADO Den Haag - NAC Breda Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Den Haag will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Breda will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wentges H. (G)
36. Boakye R.
20. de Ruijter I.
24. Heesen S.
32. Houwaart M.
22. Lourens D.
17. Mohammad E.
6. Surmeli K.
7. van Mieghem D. (C)
21. Vigen L.
4. Waem M.
Substitutes
. Brouwer T.
. Coremans T. (G)
. de Bruin F.
. el Harchaoui A.
. Ideho J.
. Maasland L.
. Radford C. (G)
. Tammes J.
. Van Der Sloot S.
. Vlak J.
. Wesseling B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Kuijpers R. ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, Jensen F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Den Haag won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Den Haag won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 32:25 (average 1.6:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Den Haag won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:11 (average 2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie
04.10.24	FC Oss - ADO Den Haag	1:5 ✺
27.09.24	ADO Den Haag - Jong Utrecht	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	ADO Den Haag - Telstar	1:1 ✺
16.09.24	Jong PSV - ADO Den Haag	2:2 ✺
13.09.24	Den Bosch - ADO Den Haag	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTTTL
- NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie
05.10.24	NAC Breda - NEC Nijmegen	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Twente - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Feyenoord - NAC Breda	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	NAC Breda - Fortuna Sittard	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.24	Schalke 04 - NAC Breda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.05.24	NAC Breda - ADO Den Haag	2:2
15.12.23	ADO Den Haag - NAC Breda	3:1
03.02.23	ADO Den Haag - NAC Breda	2:1
14.10.22	NAC Breda - ADO Den Haag	1:2
Dutch Eredivisie
14.05.22	ADO Den Haag - NAC Breda	2:1
10.05.22	NAC Breda - ADO Den Haag	1:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.12.21	ADO Den Haag - NAC Breda	4:1

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