Match Info

Eredivisie - Relegation - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Bingoal Stadion (Den Haag)

Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra


	ADO Den Haag		Telstar

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.9	3.9	3.7
	1.68	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.64	4.15	4.34
	1.67	4.02	4.59	Watch
	1.91	3.7	3.7
	1.72	4.05	4.49	Watch
	1.59	4.2	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.94)	4.05 ↑ (3.74)	4.33 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADO Den Haag
55%

Draw
23.3%

Telstar
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

25.1%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

26.6%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADO Den Haag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADO Den Haag's performance.

Telstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

ADO Den Haag - Telstar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Haag (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Den Haag (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: ADO Den Haag will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Haag (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Nikiema K. (G) 26. de Ruijter I. 45. Tomas D. 4. Waem M. 5. Sylla S. 8. Vlak J. 11. Rottier E. 25. Kilo J. 7. van Mieghem D. 10. Schalk A. (C) 18. Peupion C.	1. Koeman R. (G) 11. Noslin T. 3. Apau M. (C) 21. Koswal D. 6. Bakker D. 2. Hardeveld J. 25. Owusu T. 17. Rossen N. 4. Offerhaus G. 9. El Kachati Y. 7. Hamdaoui M.
Substitutes
9. Bonis L. 30. Brandt J. 28. Coremans T. (G) 16. de Bruin F. 12. Hamalainen T. 15. Hokke M. 22. Lourens D. 17. Mohammad E. 19. Reischl L. 6. Surmeli K. 2. Van Der Sloot S. 1. Wentges H. (G)	28. Bodak T. (G) 16. Douiri A. 19. Hagedoorn S. 20. Houweling J. (G) 14. Kaandorp M. 27. Kharchouch R. 15. Lechkar A. 12. Overtoom T. 8. Turfkruier J. 18. van Ekeris R. 26. van Schooneveld J.
Coaches
Kalezic D.	Correia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Owusu T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Schalk A. ↓, Reischl L. ↑,
58', Sylla S. ↓, Hokke M. ↑,
60', Hamdaoui M. ↓, Kharchouch R. ↑,
69', Hokke M. 🟨,
72', 0 - 1, El Kachati Y. ⚽, Owusu T. (A),
75', de Ruijter I. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
79', El Kachati Y. ↓, Hagedoorn S. ↑,
79', Owusu T. ↓, Turfkruier J. ↑,
80', Koswal D. ↓, van Ekeris R. ↑,
81', Noslin T. 🟨,
83', Turfkruier J. 🟨,
85', van Ekeris R. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 0.

Den Haag has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Telstar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Den Haag is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Den Haag won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eredivisie
13.05.25	Telstar - ADO Den Haag	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.05.25	VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag	2:7 ✺
02.05.25	ADO Den Haag - Cambuur	3:4 ✺
24.04.25	Roda - ADO Den Haag	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	ADO Den Haag - Jong PSV	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLTW
- SC Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie
13.05.25	Telstar - ADO Den Haag	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.05.25	Telstar - Emmen	3:0 ✺
02.05.25	De Graafschap - Telstar	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Telstar - FC Oss	3:2 ✺
18.04.25	FC Eindhoven - Telstar	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
13.05.25	Telstar - ADO Den Haag	2:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.04.25	Telstar - ADO Den Haag	1:1
20.09.24	ADO Den Haag - Telstar	1:1
15.03.24	Telstar - ADO Den Haag	3:1
22.09.23	ADO Den Haag - Telstar	1:1
31.03.23	ADO Den Haag - Telstar	3:1
11.11.22	Telstar - ADO Den Haag	0:0

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