Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 38

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: 711 Stadium (Velsen-Zuid)

Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Telstar		Emmen

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.2	4.2	Watch
	1.93	3.8	3.1
	1.78	4.33	3.75	Watch
	1.74	4.38	4.05
	1.87	4.06	3.53	Watch
	1.95	3.9	3.2
	1.76	4.15	4	Watch
	1.78	4.33	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.82)	4.14 ↓ (4.38)	3.7 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Telstar
51.9%

Draw
22.7%

Emmen
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

21.4%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

20.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Telstar - Emmen Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Emmen will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Telstar will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koeman R. (G) 3. Apau M. 4. Offerhaus G. 6. Bakker D. 11. Noslin T. 25. Owusu T. 17. Rossen N. 7. Hamdaoui M. 2. Hardeveld J. 23. Hetli S. 9. El Kachati Y.	38. Unbehaun L. (G) 4. te Wierik M. 2. Soares J. 6. Mulder P. 27. Schouten R. 17. Hekkert J. 26. Wagner F. 7. Rhein T. 10. Hawkins J. 18. Evina F. 24. Nsona K.
Substitutes
28. Bodak T. (G) 16. Douiri A. 19. Hagedoorn S. 20. Houweling J. (G) 14. Kaandorp M. 27. Kharchouch R. 21. Koswal D. 15. Lechkar A. 12. Overtoom T. 8. Turfkruier J. 18. van Ekeris R.	8. Bakir A. 46. Eduardo Y. 5. Geypens T. 23. Hammouti F. 1. Hoekstra J. (G) 22. Martin M. 11. Mpindi Landu C. 16. Norder K. (G) 21. Nunumete D. 12. Quispel F. 14. van Manen S.
Coaches
Correia A.	Arts A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', Schouten R. 🟨,
4', 1 - 0, Offerhaus G. ⚽,
23', Soares J. 🟨,
24', 2 - 0, Hardeveld J. ⚽,
27', Rossen N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Soares J. ↓, Hammouti F. ↑,
58', Wagner F. ↓, Eduardo Y. ↑,
60', Hamdaoui M. ↓, Kharchouch R. ↑,
60', Hetli S. ↓, Koswal D. ↑,
63', Evina F. ↓, Quispel F. ↑,
69', Hawkins J. ↓, Nunumete D. ↑,
70', Schouten R. ↓, Mpindi Landu C. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, El Kachati Y. ⚽, Owusu T. (A),
75', Noslin T. ↓, Turfkruier J. ↑,
75', Rossen N. ↓, Overtoom T. ↑,
85', El Kachati Y. ↓, van Ekeris R. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Telstar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Telstar: Noslin T. (Knee Injury) Overtoom T. (Injury)

There will not play in Emmen: Bakir A. (Injury) Bolk G. (Injury) Kade J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Telstar won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Telstar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.05.25	De Graafschap - Telstar	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Telstar - FC Oss	3:2 ✺
18.04.25	FC Eindhoven - Telstar	0:4 ✺
11.04.25	Telstar - ADO Den Haag	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Helmond Sport - Telstar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWTT
- FC Emmen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.05.25	Emmen - VVV-Venlo	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Excelsior - Emmen	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:4 ✺
11.04.25	Roda - Emmen	1:0 ✺
04.04.25	Emmen - Cambuur	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.10.24	Emmen - Telstar	0:1
19.04.24	Telstar - Emmen	2:3
06.10.23	Emmen - Telstar	2:0
27.03.22	Emmen - Telstar	2:1
06.08.21	Telstar - Emmen	1:1
Club Friendly
15.08.20	Emmen - Telstar	1:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.04.18	Emmen - Telstar	2:3

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