Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 26

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Parkstad Limburg Stadion (Kerkrade)

Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	Roda		ADO Den Haag

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	1.91	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.1
	3.25	3.7	2.02	Watch
	3.39	3.84	2.04
	3.06	3.85	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.5	2.05
	3.49	3.73	1.94	Watch
	3.25	3.66	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.57)	3.69 ↓ (3.83)	2.02 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
28.6%

Draw
25.3%

ADO Den Haag
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

24.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

23.8%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Roda - ADO Den Haag Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Den Haag will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Den Haag: 31.2% – 83%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Den Haag (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): ADO Den Haag will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Haag (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Treichel J. (G) 22. Kruiver J. 3. Tol M. 15. Beerten L. 5. Jansen K. 14. Breij M. (C) 8. Muller J. P. 4. Nisbet J. 11. Griffith I. 19. Wiedesheim-Paul R. 16. Cooper-Love J.	1. Nikiema K. (G) 2. van der Sloot S. 3. Mulder P. 4. Waem M. 15. Hokke M. 25. Kilo J. 8. Vlak J. (C) 27. Thomas N. 11. Rottier E. 21. Peupion C. 9. Fiabema B.
Substitutes
24. Deom J. 26. El Meliani R. 35. Janssen F. 27. Kalinauskas T. 17. Lajud Martinez D. 20. Leijten R. 34. Maiorano L. 6. Paulissen M. 7. Seedorf C. 23. Steins J. (G) 2. Timmermans J. 21. Zich B. (G)	23. Bal J. 16. de Bruin F. 26. de Ruijter I. 22. Eekhout S. (G) 77. Hawkins J. 14. Jimenez M. 5. Kreekels M. 24. Lejoly A. (G) 35. Puljhun S. 19. Reischl L. 45. Tomas D.
Coaches
van Dessel K.	Peter R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Hokke M. ⚽, Kilo J. (A),
15', 0 - 2, Vlak J. ⚽, Hokke M. (A),
41', Beerten L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Thomas N. ↓, Hawkins J. ↑,
56', Peupion C. ↓, de Ruijter I. ↑,
58', Treichel J. 🟨,
59', Wiedesheim-Paul R. ↓, Paulissen M. ↑,
59', Griffith I. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
71', de Ruijter I. 🟨,
71', Breij M. 🟨,
73', Hokke M. ↓, Kreekels M. ↑,
73', Fiabema B. ↓, Reischl L. ↑,
77', Mulder P. ↓, Tomas D. ↑,
79', Jansen K. ↓, Leijten R. ↑,
79', Breij M. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
85', Tomas D. 🟨,
86', Kalinauskas T. 🟨,
87', 0 - 3, Reischl L. ⚽, Vlak J. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 1.

Roda has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Den Haag has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Den Haag has had a series of home games.

Den Haag will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Roda: Kother T. (Knee Injury) Schwirten J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roda won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Roda: 3.87%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Roda	10	4	4	2	10:8	2	16

Last Results with these Odds

ADO Den Haag - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.81%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.01.26	Almere City - Roda	1:2 ✺
26.01.26	Roda - VVV-Venlo	2:2 ✺
23.01.26	Roda - FC Oss	1:2 ✺
19.01.26	Jong Ajax - Roda	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.26	Schalke U23 - Roda	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLTL
- ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.01.26	ADO Den Haag - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:4 ✺
26.01.26	ADO Den Haag - Vitesse	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Vitesse - ADO Den Haag	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	ADO Den Haag - Cambuur	1:2 ✺
19.12.25	ADO Den Haag - Jong PSV	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.11.25	ADO Den Haag - Roda	4:0
24.04.25	Roda - ADO Den Haag	1:1
18.10.24	ADO Den Haag - Roda	3:0
08.03.24	Roda - ADO Den Haag	2:2
18.08.23	ADO Den Haag - Roda	0:3
07.04.23	Roda - ADO Den Haag	1:1
16.11.22	ADO Den Haag - Roda	0:1

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