Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Unión Tarma (Tarma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	ADT Tarma		Juan Pablo II College

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.33	6	Watch
	1.49	3.8	5.5
	1.46	4	7.1	Watch
	1.47	4.28	6.64
	1.5	4.33	6.02	Watch
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.45	4.25	6.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.54)	4.13 ↓ (4.17)	6.29 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADT Tarma
62.9%

Draw
22.4%

Juan Pablo II College
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

22.4%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

20.1%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADT Tarma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ADT Tarma - Juan Pablo II College Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Valencia J. (G) 13. Gomez L. 23. Narvaez J. 4. Biojo R. 20. Gutierrez A. 7. Rojas J. (C) 16. Perez L. 14. Cabello C. 8. Guivin Tanta J. 21. Benites Vargas L. E. 32. Bauman J.	23. Vega M. (G) 31. Toledo J. 22. Peralta M. 6. Fuentes P. 3. Sanchez A. 17. Espinoza A. 50. Alaniz M. 8. Flores C. 28. Duran J. (C) 39. Juambeltz M. 15. Ramirez N.
Substitutes
15. Alvino J. 10. Cedron V. 11. Cubas A. 29. Garcia E. 25. Garcia S. 18. Mazzo A. 6. Ojeda A. 9. Rengifo H. 33. Solis C. (G)	16. Anton P. 30. Canova J. 10. Cueva C. 5. Garcia C. 7. Henricks A. 24. Iriarte I. 12. Quispe I. (G) 18. Ramirez E. 29. Tizon C.
Coaches
Trobbiani P.	Zuleta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Juambeltz M. ⚽, Alaniz M. (A),
31', Gutierrez A. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
45+2', 0 - 2, Ramirez N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Guivin Tanta J. ↓, Mazzo A. ↑,
46', Cabello C. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Bauman J. ⚽,
57', Ramirez N. ↓, Cueva C. ↑,
57', Espinoza A. ↓, Anton P. ↑,
59', Narvaez J. 🟨,
59', Juambeltz M. 🟨,
63', Bauman J. 🟨,
63', Fuentes P. 🟨,
64', 2 - 2, Rojas J. ⚽, Benites Vargas L. E. (A),
74', Duran J. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
74', Rojas J. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
82', Juambeltz M. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
82', Peralta M. ↓, Iriarte I. ↑,
85', 2 - 3, Fuentes P. ⚽,
90+1', Biojo R. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

ADT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, ADT is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in ADT: Cedron V. (Injury) Rodriguez A. (Injury)

There are questionable in ADT: Arakaki H. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ADT won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, ADT won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Juan Pablo II	11	5	4	2	21:13	8	19
17	AD Tarma	11	1	3	7	7:21	-14	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1
27.02.26	Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	ADT Tarma - Cajamarca	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - ADT Tarma	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	ADT Tarma - Sport Boys	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLWL
- Juan Pablo II College FC
Peruvian Liga 1
01.03.26	Juan Pablo II College - Cusco	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Atlético Grau - Juan Pablo II College	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Juan Pablo II College - Sporting Cristal	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Cienciano - Juan Pablo II College	6:1 ✺
31.01.26	Juan Pablo II College - Cajamarca	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
30.09.25	Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma	1:1
11.05.25	ADT Tarma - Juan Pablo II College	2:2

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