Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana)

Referee: Cori V. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Alianza Atlético		ADT Tarma

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.3	Watch
	1.85	3	4
	2.28	2.9	3.45	Watch
	2.27	2.97	3.57
	1.92	3.22	4.31	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.25
	2.25	3.1	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.83)	3.01 ↓ (3.31)	3.6 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Atlético
43.2%

Draw
30.9%

ADT Tarma
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

28.2%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Atlético's form might have worsened.

ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ADT Tarma's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hermoza E. (G) 40. Quinones Goicochea J. J. 6. Lujan J. 4. Villegas J. C. 14. Alburqueque L. 15. Lupu H. (C) 20. Perez J. 16. Fernandez S. 99. Barreda M. 77. Valladolid C. 11. Larios Saavedra G. A.	30. Valencia J. (G) 13. Gomez L. 23. Narvaez J. (C) 4. Biojo R. 20. Gutierrez A. 8. Guivin Tanta J. 21. Benites Vargas L. E. 6. Ojeda A. 14. Cabello C. 32. Bauman J. 11. Cubas A.
Substitutes
10. Diaz G. 8. Flores F. 19. Mendieta J. 23. Munoz A. 17. Penilla C. 21. Perleche E. 95. Prieto D. (G) 9. Robaldo V. 2. Suarez R.	15. Alvino J. 29. Garcia E. 18. Mazzo A. 31. Navarro J. 9. Rengifo H. 37. Rengifo N. 7. Rojas J. 33. Solis C. (G) 5. Vega J.
Coaches
Urciuoli F.	Trobbiani P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+4', Alburqueque L. 🟨,
45+5', Benites Vargas L. E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Villegas J. C. ↓, Suarez R. ↑,
62', Lupu H. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
62', Barreda M. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
63', Cubas A. ↓, Mazzo A. ↑,
74', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Robaldo V. ↑,
79', Cabello C. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
79', Ojeda A. ↓, Alvino J. ↑,
80', Alburqueque L. ↓, Penilla C. ↑,
87', Munoz A. 🟨,
88', Bauman J. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
90+12', Valladolid C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2.

ADT is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Alianza Atlético is the team to beat.

There will not play in ADT: Perez L. (Red Card)

There are questionable in ADT: Arakaki H. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	AD Tarma	11	1	3	7	7:21	-14	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1
21.02.26	Cienciano - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Alianza Atlético - Alianza Lima	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Los Chankas - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Alianza Atlético - Cusco	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Sport Boys - Alianza Atlético	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TTLWW
- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1
22.02.26	ADT Tarma - Cajamarca	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - ADT Tarma	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	ADT Tarma - Sport Boys	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.01.26	Cajamarca - ADT Tarma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
26.09.25	ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético	1:0
04.05.25	Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma	2:0
28.09.24	ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético	0:1
28.04.24	Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma	1:2
24.09.23	ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético	1:0
06.05.23	Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma	1:1
10.09.22	Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma	2:2

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