Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: OPAP Arena (Athens) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:45	Disney+
Armenia	20:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	03:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Bulgaria	19:45	Ring, Voyo
Chile	13:45	Disney+
China	00:45	ZhiBo8
Colombia	11:45	Disney+
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 13
Germany	18:45	RTL+
Greece	19:45	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 4
Hong Kong	00:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	16:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	23:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	10:45	FOX Sports 3
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	11:45	Disney+
Philippines	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Russia	19:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport 7
Singapore	00:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 13
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 14, Blue Sport 14
Thailand	23:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 15
United Kingdom	17:45	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	13:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	12:45	Disney+
Vietnam	23:45	ON Plus


	AEK Athens		Aberdeen

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	8.5
	1.32	5.4	8.3
	1.33	5.64	8.86
	1.00	17.91	40.00	Watch
	1.38	4.76	8.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.37)	7.69 ↑ (4.84)	14.85 ↑ (7.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
79.9%

Draw
13.3%

Aberdeen
6.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.7%

19.4%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3%

18.4%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AEK Athens's performance.

Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Athens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	10.5%	0%

AEK Athens - Aberdeen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: AEK Athens will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strakosha T. (G) 12. Rota L. 21. Vida D. 44. Relvas F. 29. Penrice J. 19. Eliasson N. 13. Pineda O. 20. Mantalos P. (C) 11. Koita A. 18. Marin R. 14. Pierrot F.	1. Mitov D. (G) 22. Milne J. 5. Knoester M. 2. Devlin N. 28. Jensen A. 16. Armstrong S. 4. Shinnie G. (C) 81. Keskinen T. 7. Aouchiche A. 27. Lazetic M. 17. Karlsson J.
Substitutes
81. Angelopoulos A. (G) 91. Brignoli A. (G) 55. Chrysopoulos K. 8. Gacinovic M. 4. Grujic M. 9. Jovic L. 34. Kosidis C. 7. Kutesa D. 23. Ljubicic R. 2. Moukoudi H. 3. Pilios S.	10. Clarkson L. 26. Dorrington A. 38. Lobban D. 11. Milanovic N. 21. Molloy G. 15. Nisbet K. 18. Palaversa A. 8. Polvara D. 13. Suman N. (G) 41. Vitols R. (G) 9. Yengi K.
Coaches
Nikolic M.	Thelin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Koita A. ⚽, Pineda O. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Koita A. ⚽, Rota L. (A),
27', 3 - 0, Eliasson N. ⚽, Pineda O. (A),
32', Keskinen T. ↓, Dorrington A. ↑,
35', Relvas F. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Aouchiche A. ↓, Palaversa A. ↑,
46', Shinnie G. ↓, Polvara D. ↑,
55', 4 - 0, Marin R. ⚽, Pierrot F. (A),
59', Knoester M. 🟨,
62', Armstrong S. ↓, Clarkson L. ↑,
64', Koita A. ↓, Kutesa D. ↑,
68', Marin R. ↓, Ljubicic R. ↑,
68', Pierrot F. ↓, Jovic L. ↑,
72', Karlsson J. ↓, Yengi K. ↑,
76', Rota L. ↓, Gacinovic M. ↑,
76', Mantalos P. ↓, Grujic M. ↑,
81', 5 - 0, Jovic L. ⚽, Gacinovic M. (A),
87', 6 - 0, Kutesa D. ⚽, Ljubicic R. (A),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, AEK is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in AEK: Callens A. (Heart Problems) Jonsson J. (Inactive) Kaloskamis D. (Inactive) Kolimatsis C. (Inactive) Ljubicic R. (Inactive) Mitoglou G. (Inactive) Odubajo M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Aberdeen: Tobers K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in AEK: Pereyra R. (Muscle Injury) Zini (Inactive)

There are questionable in Aberdeen: Molloy G. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
19.10.25	AEK Athens - PAOK	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	AE Kifisia - AEK Athens	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Celje - AEK Athens	3:1 ✺
Greek Super League
28.09.25	AEK Athens - Volos	1:0 ✺
Greek Cup
24.09.25	AEK Athens - Panetolikos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWW
- Aberdeen FC
Scottish Premier League
18.10.25	St. Mirren - Aberdeen	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Aberdeen - Dundee	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Aberdeen - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:3 ✺
Scottish Premier League
27.09.25	Motherwell - Aberdeen	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Dundee United - Aberdeen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLL

Upcoming Matches