Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 30 August 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: OPAP Arena (Athens) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport
Bulgaria	22:00	Ring
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	21:00	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	beIN Sports
Hungary	21:00	Sport 1
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport
Portugal	20:00	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	22:00	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Sweden	21:00	CMore Live, TV4
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	AEK Athens		Royal Antwerp

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	5
	1.75	3.55	4.9
	1.74	3.7	4.75
	1.78	3.78	4.97
	1.67	3.3	4.4
	1.75	3.74	4.6
	1.75	3.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.97)	3.66 ↑ (3.44)	4.8 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
54.6%

Draw
25.8%

Royal Antwerp
19.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.1%

27.5%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27.2%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AEK Athens's performance.

Royal Antwerp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Athens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royal Antwerp than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.4%	0%	6.6%

AEK Athens - Royal Antwerp Predictions

Users Predictions: AEK Athens will win (71 of 76 users predict this - 93.42%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.85% – 98.99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stankovic C. (G) 12. Rota L. 21. Vida D. 2. Moukoudi H. 28. Hajsafi E. 5. Amrabat N. 4. Szymanski D. (C) 8. Gacinovic M. 13. Pineda O. 14. Ponce E. 10. Zuber S.	1. Butez J. (G) 21. Vines S. 23. Alderweireld T. (C) 44. Coulibaly S. 2. De Laet R. 27. Keita M. 24. Ekkelenkamp J. 48. Vermeeren A. 11. Muja A. 18. Janssen V. 10. Balikwisha M.
Substitutes
11. Araujo S. 30. Athanasiadis G. (G) 19. Eliasson N. 25. Galanopoulos K. 39. Ginis P. (G) 6. Jonsson J. 20. Mantalos P. 24. Mitoglou G. 3. Mohammadi M. 70. Pizarro R. 29. Sidibe D.	81. Devalckeneer N. (G) 19. Ejuke C. 9. Ilenikhena G. 7. Kerk G. 91. Lammens S. (G) 17. Ondrejka J. 55. Valencia A. 33. Van Den Bosch Z. 8. Yusuf A.
Coaches
Almeyda M.	van Bommel M.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Recent matches AEK is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Antwerp is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Antwerp could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match AEK is a favorite.

There will not play in AEK: Fernandes P. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Antwerp: Bataille J. (Red Card) Corbanie K. (Surgery) Verhulst D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in AEK: Garcia L. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Antwerp: De Wolf O. (Finger Injury) Engels B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches AEK won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
26.08.23	AEK Athens - Panserraikos	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.08.23	Royal Antwerp - AEK Athens	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	AEK Athens - Dinamo Zagreb	2:2 ✺
15.08.23	Dinamo Zagreb - AEK Athens	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.23	Trabzonspor - AEK Athens	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLTWW
- Royal Antwerp FC
UEFA Champions League
22.08.23	Royal Antwerp - AEK Athens	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.08.23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Royal Antwerp	1:1 ✺
11.08.23	Royal Antwerp - Kortrijk	6:0 ✺
06.08.23	Anderlecht - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
30.07.23	Royal Antwerp - Cercle Brugge	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
22.08.23	Royal Antwerp - AEK Athens	1:0
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Royal Antwerp - AEK Athens	0:3
06.07.21	Royal Antwerp - AEK Athens	0:2

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