Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday

Location: OPAP Arena (Athens)

Referee: Kruashvili G. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	AEK Athens		Universitatea Craiova

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	9
	1.34	4.7	8.8
	1.34	5.09	9.52
	1.33	5.21	9.22	Watch
	1.33	4.75	9
	1.37	4.84	8.73
	1.33	5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.58)	4.91 ↑ (3.82)	8.97 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
70.3%

Draw
19.2%

Universitatea Craiova
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

24.5%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

23.4%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AEK Athens's performance.

Universitatea Craiova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitatea Craiova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Athens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitatea Craiova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	13.6%	11.4%

AEK Athens - Universitatea Craiova Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 32 - 74.4%). Uni Craiova will win (votes: 5 - 11.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 61.4% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Uni Craiova (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -1.75 - AEK (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK (votes: 18 - 75%). Uni Craiova (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strakosha T. (G) 12. Rota L. 21. Vida D. 44. Relvas F. 3. Pilios S. 13. Pineda O. 18. Marin R. 20. Mantalos P. (C) 37. Pereyra R. 11. Koita A. 9. Jovic L.	77. Isenko P. (G) 3. Romanchuk O. 6. Screciu V. 15. Badelj J. 23. Teles 5. Mekvabishvili A. 20. Cicaldau A. 11. Bancu N. (C) 12. Etim M. 9. Al Hamlawi A. 10. Baiaram S.
Substitutes
81. Angelopoulos A. (G) 91. Brignoli A. (G) 55. Chrysopoulos K. 19. Eliasson N. 4. Grujic M. 34. Kosidis C. 7. Kutesa D. 29. Penrice J.	29. Basceanu L. 4. Cretu A. 14. Houri L. 1. Lung S. Jr. (G) 30. Matei D. 19. Mogos V. 17. Mora C. 38. Muntean D. 39. Nsimba S. 21. Popescu L. (G) 2. Stefan F. 24. Stevanovic N.
Coaches
Nikolic M.	Coelho F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Vida D. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Baiaram S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
59', 0 - 2, Cicaldau A. ⚽, Al Hamlawi A. (A),
64', Mantalos P. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
64', Pereyra R. ↓, Kutesa D. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Vida D. ⚽, Marin R. (A),
66', Etim M. ↓, Mora C. ↑,
72', Baiaram S. 🟨,
77', Pilios S. ↓, Penrice J. ↑,
80', Baiaram S. ↓, Cretu A. ↑,
80', Cicaldau A. ↓, Houri L. ↑,
83', Kutesa D. 🟨,
83', Teles 🟨,
90+1', Marin R. ↓, Grujic M. ↑,
90+2', Cretu A. 🟨,
90+4', Isenko P. 🟨,
90+6', Mekvabishvili A. ↓, Mogos V. ↑,
90+6', Teles ↓, Stevanovic N. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 2, Kutesa D. ⚽, Eliasson N. (A),
90+11', Bancu N. 🟨,
90+12', Rota L. 🟨,
90+15', 3 - 2, Jovic L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

AEK has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Uni Craiova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Uni Craiova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, AEK is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in AEK: Callens A. (Heart Problems) Gacinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Joao Mario (Inactive) Jonsson J. (Inactive) Kaloskamis D. (Inactive) Kolimatsis C. (Inactive) Mitoglou G. (Inactive) Odubajo M. (Inactive) Pierrot F. (Injury) Zini (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Uni Craiova: Baluta T. (Surgery) Falcusan D. (Inactive) Paradela L. (Inactive) Radulescu M. (Knee Injury) Romanchuk O. (Inactive) Screciu V. (Injury)

There are questionable in AEK: Moukoudi H. (Injury) Penrice J. (Injury)

We predict that AEK will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AEK won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, AEK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
14.12.25	Panetolikos - AEK Athens	0:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Samsunspor - AEK Athens	1:2 ✺
Greek Super League
07.12.25	AEK Athens - Atromitos Athens	4:1 ✺
Greek Cup
03.12.25	AEK Athens - OFI	2:0 ✺
Greek Super League
30.11.25	Panathinaikos - AEK Athens	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWW
- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian SuperLiga
14.12.25	Hermannstadt - Universitatea Craiova	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Universitatea Craiova - Sparta Prague	1:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
07.12.25	Universitatea Craiova - CFR Cluj	1:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
04.12.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Universitatea Craiova	0:4 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
01.12.25	Universitatea Cluj - Universitatea Craiova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
15.08.19	AEK Athens - Universitatea Craiova	1:1
08.08.19	Universitatea Craiova - AEK Athens	0:2

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