Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: Stichting Sportpark de Eendracht (Amsterdam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ajax		AEK Larnaca

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.90	3.90
	1.49	4.40	4.80	Watch
	1.70	3.95	4.29
	1.64	4.25	4.37	Watch
	1.66	3.45	4.20
	1.70	3.76	4.61	Watch
	1.61	4.00	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.77)	3.96 ↓ (4.1)	4.37 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
56%

Draw
23.1%

AEK Larnaca
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

22.9%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

23.8%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Ajax - AEK Larnaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paes M. (G) 2. Rosa L. 3. Bouwman A. 4. Baas Y. 5. Wijndal O. 10. Gloukh O. 6. Regeer Y. 8. Mokio J. 7. Berghuis S. (C) 9. Konadu D. 11. Godts M.	1. Paraskevas A. (G) 21. Miramon 27. Adoni Z. 15. Milicevic H. (C) 13. Gurfinkel Y. 6. Pankov I. 14. Layouni A. 20. Repas J. 25. Kyriakou C. 9. Ivanovic D. 11. Bajic R.
Substitutes
20. Abdalla M. 15. Caio Henrique 17. Edvardsen O. 16. Gaaei A. 22. Johnson J. 18. Klaassen D. 19. Nash P. 21. Ouazane A. 12. Reverson P. (G)	93. Amyn Y. 92. Anastasiou S. 94. Andereggen N. 96. Chacon Y. 99. Demetriou D. (G) 22. Ekpolo G. 37. Gerasimou D. 91. Hadjichambi M. 2. Ioannou P. 95. Izquierdo J. 30. Koulentros A. (G) 7. Ledes Gustavo 98. Muftic V. (G) 29. Naoum G. 90. Pileas K. 10. Rubio W. 4. Saborit E. 97. van der Hoorn M.
Coaches
Michel	Camoranesi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Bajic R. ↓, Rubio W. ↑,
39', Berghuis S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mokio J. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
46', Berghuis S. ↓, Klaassen D. ↑,
46', Rosa L. ↓, Gaaei A. ↑,
59', Wijndal O. ↓, Caio Henrique ↑,
60', Konadu D. ↓, Abdalla M. ↑,
60', Regeer Y. ↓, Ouazane A. ↑,
60', Gloukh O. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
60', Paes M. ↓, Reverson P. ↑,
63', Kyriakou C. ↓, Pileas K. ↑,
63', Layouni A. ↓, Ledes Gustavo ↑,
63', Adoni Z. ↓, Anastasiou S. ↑,
63', Milicevic H. ↓, Ioannou P. ↑,
63', Miramon ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
63', Ivanovic D. ↓, Saborit E. ↑,
63', Gurfinkel Y. ↓, van der Hoorn M. ↑,
70', Godts M. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
79', Repas J. ↓, Hadjichambi M. ↑,
79', Paraskevas A. ↓, Muftic V. ↑,
82', Ioannou P. 🟨,
84', 1 - 0, Ouazane A. ⚽, Edvardsen O. (A),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

AEK Larnaca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ajax has had a series of home games.

Recently, AEK Larnaca has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ajax is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Ajax - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 52.97%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Ajax - Panathinaikos	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
24.05.26	Ajax - Utrecht	2:1 penalties ✺
21.05.26	Ajax - Groningen	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Heerenveen - Ajax	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Ajax - Utrecht	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWTL
- AEK Larnaca
Club Friendly
07.07.26	PAOK - AEK Larnaca	3:2 ✺
04.07.26	Helmond Sport - AEK Larnaca	1:2 ✺
Cypriot First Division
22.05.26	Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca	3:4 ✺
16.05.26	AEK Larnaca - Paphos	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Omonia - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWTT

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