Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Location: AEK Arena (Larnaca)

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1
Slovenia	Sport TV1


	AEK Larnaca		Celje

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	4	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.1
	1.85	3.55	3.95	Watch
	1.9	3.63	3.96
	1.89	3.46	4.06	Watch
	1.83	3.3	4
	1.93	3.67	4	Watch
	1.92	3.27	3.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.92)	3.47 ↑ (3.31)	3.94 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Larnaca
49.5%

Draw
26.8%

Celje
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.2%	34.8%	0%

AEK Larnaca - Celje Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

TQ, OT - AEK Larnaca (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - AEK Larnaca (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Celje (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AEK Larnaca will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 16 - 80%). Celje (votes: 1 - 5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 22. Ekpolo G. 15. Milicevic H. 27. Roberge V. 14. Garcia A. (C) 7. Ledes Gustavo 17. Pons P. 8. Rohden M. 18. Chacon Y. 19. Angielski K. 9. Ivanovic D.	1. Leban Z. (G) 2. Juanjo Nieto 23. Karnicnik Z. (C) 3. Vuklisevic D. 6. Tutyskinas A. 19. Zabukovnik M. 17. Kotnik A. 11. Avdyli M. 8. Kvesic M. 20. Iosifov N. 9. Kovacevic F.
Substitutes
24. Danny Henriques 99. Demetriou D. (G) 37. Gerasimou D. 93. Gnali J. 2. Ioannou P. 6. Jimmy Suarez 36. Loukaidis C. 41. Mathias Gonzalez 21. Miramon 29. Naoum G. 51. Paraskevas A. (G) 35. Thoma C.	44. Bejger L. 14. Chidi A. 24. Dzevahiric F. 4. Hrka D. 7. Jevsenak F. 12. Kolar L. (G) 10. Sturm D. 16. Vidovic I. 5. Vodeb G. 25. Zorko T. (G) 38. Zuzek Z.
Coaches
Idiakez I.	Riera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', Avdyli M. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Chacon Y. ⚽, Angielski K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vuklisevic D. ↓, Bejger L. ↑,
46', Avdyli M. ↓, Sturm D. ↑,
53', Rohden M. ↓, Jimmy Suarez ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽, Chacon Y. (A),
79', Kotnik A. ↓, Vidovic I. ↑,
82', Jimmy Suarez 🟨,
84', Angielski K. ↓, Loukaidis C. ↑,
85', Ivanovic D. ↓, Miramon ↑,
85', Garcia A. ↓, Gnali J. ↑,
85', Iosifov N. ↓, Chidi A. ↑,
85', Tutyskinas A. ↓, Vodeb G. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Kvesic M. ⚽, Chidi A. (A),
90', Chacon Y. ↓, Danny Henriques ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Celje may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, AEK Larnaca is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, AEK Larnaca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Larnaca
UEFA Europa League
24.07.25	Celje - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
17.07.25	Partizan - AEK Larnaca	2:2 penalties ✺
10.07.25	AEK Larnaca - Partizan	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Anderlecht - AEK Larnaca	2:2 ✺
28.06.25	AEK Larnaca - Seraing	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWTT
- NK Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
27.07.25	Celje - Radomlje	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.07.25	Celje - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
20.07.25	Maribor - Celje	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.07.25	Celje - Sabah	3:3 ET ✺
10.07.25	Sabah - Celje	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
24.07.25	Celje - AEK Larnaca	1:1

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