Celje - AEK Larnaca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Europa League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
  • Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday
  • Location: Stadion Z'dezele (Celje)
  • Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
  • cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
    sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
    Celje AEK Larnaca
    Celje AEK Larnaca
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 2.55 3.1 2.7 #Advertisement. Watch and Bet. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Watch
    Bwin 2.4 3.25 2.85
    betsson 2.48 3.15 2.78 Watch and Bet Watch
    Bet_in_Asia 2.6 3.25 2.82
    GGBet 2.22 3.17 3.35 Watch and Bet Watch
    Williamhill 2.45 3 2.8
    BetNow 2.58 3.28 2.86 Watch and Bet Watch
    Bovada 2.2 3.1 3.2
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.2)
    3.16
    (3.1)
    2.92
    (3.2)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

    #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

    Current Win Probability

    Celje
    38.4%
    Draw
    29.6%
    AEK Larnaca
    32%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    41.7% 29.6% 28.7%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    59.1% 27.3% 13.6%
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    Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Celje will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Celje: 41.1% โ€“ 82.7%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - Celje (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - AEK Larnaca (5.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Celje (votes: 1 - 10%). AEK Larnaca (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. SloveniaLeban Z. (G)
      2. SpainJuanjo Nieto
    23. SloveniaKarnicnik Z. (C)
      3. SloveniaVuklisevic D.
      6. LithuaniaTutyskinas A.
    19. SloveniaZabukovnik M.
      8. BosniaKvesic M.
    17. SloveniaKotnik A.
    20. RussiaIosifov N.
    10. SloveniaSturm D.
      9. CroatiaKovacevic F.
      1. GermanyAlomerovic Z. (G)
    22. NigeriaEkpolo G.
    15. BosniaMilicevic H.
    27. CyprusRoberge V.
    14. SpainGarcia A. (C)
      8. SwedenRohden M.
      7. PortugalLedes Gustavo
    17. SpainPons P.
    18. VenezuelaChacon Y.
    10. SpainRubio W.
    19. PolandAngielski K.
    Substitutes
    11. KosovoAvdyli M.
    44. PolandBejger L.
    14. SwedenChidi A.
    24. BosniaDzevahiric F.
      4. SloveniaHrka D.
      7. SloveniaJevsenak F.
    12. SloveniaKolar L. (G)
    16. CroatiaVidovic I.
      5. SloveniaVodeb G.
    24. NetherlandsDanny Henriques
    99. CyprusDemetriou D. (G)
    44. CyprusEvripidou K.
    37. CyprusGerasimou D.
      2. CyprusIoannou P.
      6. SpainJimmy Suarez
    36. CyprusLoukaidis C.
    41. VenezuelaMathias Gonzalez
    21. SpainMiramon
    51. CyprusParaskevas A. (G)
    35. CyprusThoma C.
    Coaches
         SpainRiera A.
         SpainIdiakez I.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 21', Karnicnik Z. 🟨,
    • 27', Roberge V. 🟨,
    • 27', Idiakez I. 🟨,
    • 28', 1 - 0, Kovacevic F. (Pen),
    • 40', Chacon Y. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 53', 1 - 1, Milicevic H. (Pen),
    • 62', Kvesic M. 🟨,
    • 64', Sturm D. , Avdyli M. ,
    • 73', Leban Z. 🟨,
    • 80', Angielski K. , Jimmy Suarez ,
    • 83', Garcia A. , Danny Henriques ,
    • 85', Danny Henriques 🟨,
    • 89', Kotnik A. , Chidi A. ,
    • 90+2', Rubio W. , Loukaidis C. ,

    Preview

  • 1st leg.
  • AEK Larnaca is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 3).
  • AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
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    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - NK Celje
    Slovenian PrvaLiga
    20.07.25 Maribor - Celje 1:2
    UEFA Europa League
    17.07.25 Celje - Sabah 3:3 ET
    10.07.25 Sabah - Celje 2:3
    Slovenian PrvaLiga
    25.05.25 Celje - Domลพale 1:1
    18.05.25 Nafta - Celje 1:6
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2
    WLWTW
    - AEK Larnaca
    UEFA Europa League
    17.07.25 Partizan - AEK Larnaca 2:2 penalties
    10.07.25 AEK Larnaca - Partizan 1:0
    Club Friendly
    02.07.25 Anderlecht - AEK Larnaca 2:2
    28.06.25 AEK Larnaca - Seraing 3:3
    25.06.25 Westerlo - AEK Larnaca 1:3
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6
    WWTTW
    Upcoming Matches
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - NK Celje
    Slovenian PrvaLiga
    12.09.26 NK Bravo - Celje