The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
AEK Larnaca 19.5%
Draw 25.4%
Fenerbahçe 55.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.7%
27.7%
49.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.4%
29.4%
52.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fenerbahçe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.9%
6.9%
85.1%
AEK Larnaca - Fenerbahçe Predictions
Users Predictions:
Fenerbahçe will win
(86 of 101 users predict this - 85.15%). Confidence interval (95%): 78.21% – 92.09%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
#ad
Preview
AEK Larnaca has a small chance of knockout phase (6%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 3, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a small chance of 2nd (6%), has a good chance of 3rd (65%).
Fenerbahçe has a good chance of knockout phase (94%), has a good chance of round of 16 (61%), has a chance of qtrs (24%), has a small chance of semis (10%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%), has currently - 7, has a chance of 1st (42%), has a good chance of 2nd (52%), has a small chance of 3rd (6%).
This event has quality52, importance41, match rating47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches AEK Larnaca is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Fenerbahçe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently AEK Larnaca have a series of guest games.
In this match Fenerbahçe is a favorite.
There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Gama B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Sangare N.
(Knee Injury)
Yandas M. H.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in AEK Larnaca: Paraskevas A.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Arao W.
(Injury)
King J.
(Muscle Injury)
Peres L.
(Knee Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches AEK Larnaca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
Australia
Finland
Germany
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Sweden
#ad
