Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 18

Date: 7 February 2023, Tuesday

Location: New Bucks Head (Telford)


	AFC Telford United		Farsley

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.1
	2.12	3.25	3
	2.05	3.4	3.15
	2.03	3.41	3.41
	2.1	3.2	3.25
	2.04	3.5	3.35
	2.11	3.35	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.44)	3.34 ↑ (3.12)	3.19 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
44%

Draw
27.3%

Farsley
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

28.9%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

27.6%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Telford United's performance.

Farsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Farsley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Telford United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	15.4%	30.8%

AFC Telford United - Farsley Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Telford will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Farsley will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Telford: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Telford won 1.

Telford has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Farsley is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Farsley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Telford will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Telford won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Telford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English National League North
04.02.23	Darlington - AFC Telford United	3:1 ✺
31.01.23	Chorley - AFC Telford United	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	AFC Telford United - Southport	1:1 ✺
17.01.23	AFC Telford United - Kettering Town	1:1 ✺
14.01.23	Buxton - AFC Telford United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLTTW
- Farsley AFC
English National League North
04.02.23	Farsley - Hereford	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Curzon Ashton - Farsley	5:2 ✺
24.01.23	Farsley - Buxton	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
14.01.23	Farsley - Marske United	7:1 ✺
English National League North
10.01.23	Hereford - Farsley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
26.03.22	Farsley - AFC Telford United	1:1
16.10.21	AFC Telford United - Farsley	2:0
05.12.20	Farsley - AFC Telford United	2:0
25.01.20	Farsley - AFC Telford United	1:1
07.12.19	AFC Telford United - Farsley	0:2
English FA Trophy
15.12.18	AFC Telford United - Farsley	4:3

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