Match Info

National League North - Round 22

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Buxton		AFC Telford United

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.4
	2.52	3.55	2.42
	2.41	3.74	2.56
	2.37	3.98	2.52	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.45
	2.62	3.56	2.46
	2.36	3.75	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2)	3.61 ↑ (3.5)	2.47 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxton
37.4%

Draw
25.5%

AFC Telford United
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

25.8%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

26.3%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Buxton's form might have worsened.

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Telford United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buxton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Telford United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Buxton - AFC Telford United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buxton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, George A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 0 - 2, George A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 15).

Buxton has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Telford is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Buxton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Buxton has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Buxton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buxton FC
English National League North
13.12.25	Spennymoor Town - Buxton	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Cheltenham Town - Buxton	6:2 ✺
English National League North
29.11.25	Buxton - Merthyr Town	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	King`s Lynn Town - Buxton	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Fylde - Buxton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLLLW
- AFC Telford United
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	AFC Telford United - Altrincham	4:3 ✺
English National League North
09.12.25	Leamington - AFC Telford United	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	AFC Telford United - Southport	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Radcliffe - AFC Telford United	2:2 ✺
25.11.25	AFC Telford United - Oxford City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
23.08.25	AFC Telford United - Buxton	0:1
14.01.23	Buxton - AFC Telford United	0:2
29.08.22	AFC Telford United - Buxton	1:1

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