Match Info

League One - Round 26

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London)

Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	AFC Wimbledon		Blackpool

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3
	2.38	3.2	2.98
	2.41	3.33	3.09
	2.37	3.28	2.96	Watch
	2.38	3	2.9
	2.35	3.21	3.01	Watch
	2.28	3.35	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.23)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	3.01 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
39.8%

Draw
29%

Blackpool
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28.6%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

27.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	21.1%	5.3%

AFC Wimbledon - Blackpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Blackpool will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. McDonnell J. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 15. Bauer P. 6. Johnson R. (C) 2. Asiimwe N. 8. Maycock C. 12. Smith A. 21. Hippolyte M. 3. Seddon S. 14. Stevens M. 11. Browne M.	1. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 4. Casey O. 5. Horsfall F. 3. Husband J. 6. Brown J. 24. Walters R. 10. Honeyman G. (C) 7. Clarkson L. 15. Coulson H. 9. Ennis N. 11. Fletcher A.
Substitutes
9. Bugiel O. 16. Hackford A. 31. Lewis J. 18. McCoy-Splatt D. 37. Nelson Z. 30. Nkeng R. 4. Reeves J.	23. Anderson K. 26. Ashworth Z. 14. Bloxham T. 19. Bowler J. 22. Hamilton C. 17. Randall J. 25. Ravizzoli F. (G)
Coaches
Jackson J.	Evatt I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Johnson R. ⚽, Seddon S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Stevens M. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Fletcher A. ↓, Bowler J. ↑,
61', Clarkson L. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
61', Honeyman G. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Ennis N. ⚽, Casey O. (A),
68', Bauer P. ↓, Lewis J. ↑,
71', Coulson H. ↓, Hamilton C. ↑,
78', Ennis N. ↓, Bloxham T. ↑,
80', Johnson R. ↓, Nkeng R. ↑,
81', Stevens M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
90+3', Hippolyte M. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Nelson Z. ⚽,
90+7', 4 - 1, Bugiel O. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Wimbledon might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Wimbledon: Sasu A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Blackpool: Finnigan R. (Inactive) Grant K. (Inactive) Lyons A. (Inactive) Morgan A. (Inactive) Obafemi M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D. (Inactive) Stewart L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Blackpool: Taylor D. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 0.8:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	AFC Wimbledon	9	3	3	3	7:10	-3	12
18	Blackpool	8	2	2	4	13:14	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

AFC Wimbledon - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.98%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Blackpool - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.46%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English League One
08.03.26	AFC Wimbledon - Northampton Town	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	AFC Wimbledon - Bradford City	3:1 ✺
17.02.26	Cardiff City - AFC Wimbledon	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Barnsley - AFC Wimbledon	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWLT
- Blackpool
English League One
07.03.26	Blackpool - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Lincoln City - Blackpool	4:0 ✺
21.02.26	Bolton Wanderers - Blackpool	2:2 ✺
17.02.26	Blackpool - Mansfield Town	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Blackpool - Plymouth Argyle	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
04.10.25	Blackpool - AFC Wimbledon	0:2
06.03.21	Blackpool - AFC Wimbledon	1:1
27.10.20	AFC Wimbledon - Blackpool	1:0
22.02.20	AFC Wimbledon - Blackpool	0:0
16.11.19	Blackpool - AFC Wimbledon	2:0
29.12.18	AFC Wimbledon - Blackpool	0:0
20.10.18	Blackpool - AFC Wimbledon	2:0

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