Match Info

League One - Round 35

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: One Call Stadium (Mansfield)

Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)


	Mansfield Town		AFC Wimbledon

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.18	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.21	3.36	3.46
	2.19	3.26	3.33	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.25
	2.21	3.1	3.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.14)	3.2 ↓ (3.29)	3.35 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
42.8%

Draw
29.3%

AFC Wimbledon
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.4%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 1 - 50%). Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roberts L. (G) 2. Knoyle K. 23. Oshilaja A. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 7. Akins L. 13. Russell J. 25. Reed L. (C) 3. McLaughlin S. 24. Hendry R. 29. Roberts T. 19. Adeboyejo V.	1. Bishop N. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 15. Bauer P. 6. Johnson R. (C) 7. Tilley J. 12. Smith A. 8. Maycock C. 21. Hippolyte M. 3. Seddon S. 11. Browne M. 14. Stevens M.
Substitutes
40. Abbott G. 11. Evans W. 4. Hewitt E. 44. Irow O. 8. Lewis A. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 18. Oates R.	2. Asiimwe N. 9. Bugiel O. 16. Hackford A. 20. McDonnell J. (G) 37. Nelson Z. 30. Nkeng R. 4. Reeves J.
Coaches
Clough N.	Jackson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Russell J. ⚽, Adeboyejo V. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Tilley J. ⚽, Browne M. (A),
29', 2 - 1, Russell J. ⚽, Roberts T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', McLaughlin S. 🟨,
58', Adeboyejo V. ↓, Oates R. ↑,
58', Roberts T. ↓, Evans W. ↑,
58', 2 - 2, Stevens M. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Russell J. ↓, Abbott G. ↑,
64', Hendry R. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
75', McLaughlin S. ↓, Hewitt E. ↑,
84', Hippolyte M. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
84', Stevens M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
88', Bauer P. ↓, Nkeng R. ↑,
90', Oshilaja A. 🟨,
90+4', Bugiel O. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 16 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 2.

Mansfield is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wimbledon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mansfield is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Mansfield: Bowery J. (Inactive) Cargill B. (Injury) Maris G. (Inactive) Sweeney R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D. (Inactive) Sasu A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wimbledon: Lewis J. (Inactive) Stewart L. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Outrights of English League One for now

Mansfield: 1.24% AFC Wimbledon: 0.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	AFC Wimbledon	9	3	3	3	7:10	-3	12
14	Mansfield	8	3	2	3	12:14	-2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League One
21.02.26	Mansfield Town - Lincoln City	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Blackpool - Mansfield Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Burnley - Mansfield Town	1:2 ✺
English League One
10.02.26	Mansfield Town - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Mansfield Town - Exeter City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWLT
- AFC Wimbledon
English League One
21.02.26	AFC Wimbledon - Bradford City	3:1 ✺
17.02.26	Cardiff City - AFC Wimbledon	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Barnsley - AFC Wimbledon	3:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.02.26	AFC Wimbledon - Northampton Town	1:2 ✺
English League One
07.02.26	AFC Wimbledon - Reading	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
13.12.25	AFC Wimbledon - Mansfield Town	0:0
English League Two
27.01.24	AFC Wimbledon - Mansfield Town	2:1
07.10.23	Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:0
04.03.23	AFC Wimbledon - Mansfield Town	1:3
16.08.22	Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon	5:2
16.01.16	AFC Wimbledon - Mansfield Town	3:1
05.09.15	Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon	1:1

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