The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Blackpool 35.6%
Draw 26.6%
Mansfield Town 37.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.6%
26.1%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
25.5%
35.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blackpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Blackpool - Mansfield Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 28. Williams J. 4. Casey O. 3. Ashworth Z. 21. Niskanen I. 8. Morgan A. 11. Bowler J. 17. Anderson K. (C) 7. Clarkson L. 19. Charles D. 18. Taylor D.
1. Roberts L. (G) 4. Hewitt E. 23. Oshilaja A. 5. Sweeney R. (C) 25. Reed L. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 33. Abbott G. 16. Thompson L. 3. McLaughlin S. 13. Russell J. 14. Smith M.
Substitutes
14. Bloxham T. 6. Brown J. 15. Coulson H. 2. Lyons A. 26. Munroe F. 23. Southwood L. (G) 12. Yates J.
20. Blake-Tracy F. 8. Bolton L. 9. Bowery J. 24. Hendry R. 2. Knoyle K. 18. Oates R. 19. Roberts T.
Coaches
Evatt I.
Clough N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Morgan A. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Smith M. ⚽, Russell J. (A),
40', Smith M. (Penalty Awarded),
42', 1 - 1, Charles D. ⚽, Clarkson L. (A),
45+1', Anderson K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Thompson L. ↓, Oates R. ↑,
46', McLaughlin S. ↓, Bowery J. ↑,
52', Hewitt E. 🟨,
55', 1 - 2, Oates R. ⚽, Abbott G. (A),
60', Abbott G. ↓, Hendry R. ↑,
64', 1 - 3, Niskanen I. (Own goal),
66', Taylor D. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
66', Charles D. ↓, Bloxham T. ↑,
74', Smith M. ↓, Roberts T. ↑,
75', Niskanen I. ↓, Munroe F. ↑,
78', 1 - 4, Roberts T. ⚽, Oates R. (A),
79', Morgan A. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
82', Hewitt E. ↓, Bolton L. ↑,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 17th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Mansfield could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Blackpool: Earl J.
(Inactive)
Hamilton C.
(Inactive)
Horsfall F.
(Ankle Injury)
Ihiekwe M.
(Muscle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Mansfield: Akins L.
(Inactive)
Cargill B.
(Hamstring Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Blackpool: Ennis N.
(Foot Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Mansfield: McGoldrick D.
(Inactive).
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Blackpool has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:10 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Blackpool against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:5 goals (averaging 1.5:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Mansfield
11
5
3
3
20:16
4
18
20
Blackpool
11
3
2
6
16:20
-4
11
Outrights of English League One for now
Mansfield: 2.59% Blackpool: 0.54%
Last Results with these Odds
Blackpool - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.56%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 
Williams J. 
Ashworth Z. 
Niskanen I. 
Anderson K. (C) 
Sweeney R. (C) 
Moriah-Welsh N. 
Bowery J. 
Hendry R. 
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