Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 5

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)


	AFC Wimbledon		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.75
	1.8	3.6	4.5
	1.75	3.84	4.88
	1.73	3.3	4.2
	1.75	3.74	4.6	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.1)	3.6 ↑ (3.4)	4.54 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
53.3%

Draw
26%

Forest Green Rovers
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

27.8%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Wimbledon's performance.

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Forest Green Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Wimbledon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forest Green Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AFC Wimbledon - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bass A. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. 3. Brown L. 7. Tilley J. 14. Little A. 4. Reeves J. (C) 11. Neufville J. 18. Bugiel O. 10. Al-Hamadi A.	1. Daniels L. (G) 3. Bernard D. (C) 5. Inniss R. 22. Welch R. 17. Robson J. 7. McAllister K. 27. Bunker H. 8. McCann C. 37. Holland N. 9. Stevens M. 10. Taylor M.
Substitutes
16. Ball J. 1. Chivarov Tzanev N. (G) 9. Davison J. 17. McLean R. 15. Pearce A. 8. Pell H. 29. Sasu A.	12. Bendle A. 32. Carter J. 14. Deeney T. 4. Johnson D. 16. Kadji D. 23. Omotoye T. 20. Searle J. (G)
Coaches
Jackson J.	Horseman D.

Preview

Wimbledon is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Forest Green is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Forest Green have a series of home games.

In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Wimbledon to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English League Two
19.08.23	Sutton United - AFC Wimbledon	0:3 ✺
15.08.23	Colchester United - AFC Wimbledon	0:2 ✺
12.08.23	AFC Wimbledon - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.23	AFC Wimbledon - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
English League Two
05.08.23	Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WWTWT
- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
19.08.23	Forest Green Rovers - Newport County	0:3 ✺
15.08.23	Forest Green Rovers - Swindon Town	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Harrogate Town - Forest Green Rovers	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Forest Green Rovers - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
English League Two
05.08.23	Forest Green Rovers - Salford City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
07.11.15	AFC Wimbledon - Forest Green Rovers	1:2

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