Match Info

League Two - Round 46

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Blundell Park (Cleethorpes)

Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Grimsby Town		AFC Wimbledon

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.88	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.65
	2.55	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.58	3.08	2.92
	2.55	3.04	2.9	Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.62
	2.56	3.15	2.8	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.59)	3.11 ↓ (3.21)	2.82 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
36.5%

Draw
30.2%

AFC Wimbledon
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

29.1%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28.4%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Wimbledon (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Eastwood J. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 24. Tharme D. 21. Warren T. 20. McEachran G. 11. Svanthorsson J. 4. Green K. 30. Khouri E. 33. Hume D. 32. Rose D. (C) 9. Obikwu J.	1. Goodman O. (G) 26. Harbottle R. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. 11. Neufville J. 4. Reeves J. (C) 41. Hutchinson S. 12. Smith A. 7. Tilley J. 18. Browne M. 14. Stevens M.
Substitutes
16. Ainley C. 14. Barrington L. 18. Burns D. 2. Cass L. 17. McJannett C. 10. Vernam C. 1. Wright J. (G)	9. Bugiel O. 21. Hippolyte M. 10. Kelly J. 8. Maycock C. 33. Ogundere I. 29. Sasu A. 22. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Artell D.	Jackson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Johnson R. 🟨,
42', Browne M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Hutchinson S. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Hutchinson S. ⚽,
69', Warren T. ↓, McJannett C. ↑,
76', Browne M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
82', Rodgers H. ↓, Barrington L. ↑,
82', Khouri E. ↓, Vernam C. ↑,
88', Stevens M. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
90+1', Reeves J. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Grimsby: Davies J. (Inactive) Wilson D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wimbledon: Harbottle R. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.4:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Last Results with these Odds

AFC Wimbledon - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.64%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Two
26.04.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town	0:0 ✺
21.04.25	Port Vale - Grimsby Town	2:2 ✺
18.04.25	Grimsby Town - Swindon Town	0:4 ✺
12.04.25	Harrogate Town - Grimsby Town	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Grimsby Town - Morecambe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTLTW
- AFC Wimbledon
English League Two
26.04.25	AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	AFC Wimbledon - Chesterfield	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
09.11.24	AFC Wimbledon - Grimsby Town	0:1
05.03.24	AFC Wimbledon - Grimsby Town	0:0
05.08.23	Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:0
08.05.23	Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon	1:0
03.12.22	AFC Wimbledon - Grimsby Town	1:0

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