The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colchester United 36.6%
Draw 32.3%
AFC Wimbledon 31.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.5%
29%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34%
30.3%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Wimbledon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Colchester United - AFC Wimbledon Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Macey M. (G) 18. Egbo M. 6. Flanagan T. 4. Kelleher F. 3. Iandolo E. 11. Gordon J. 15. McDonnell J. 10. Payne J. 8. Bishop T. 21. Edwards O. 33. Taylor L.
1. Goodman O. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. 11. Neufville J. 4. Reeves J. 12. Smith A. 7. Tilley J. 9. Bugiel O. 18. Browne M. 14. Stevens M.
Substitutes
16. Read A. 17. Simpson T. 12. Smith T. (G) 31. Thorn O. 9. Tovide S. 22. Tucker J. 30. Vincent-Young K.
3. Furlong J. 41. Hutchinson S. 10. Kelly J. 5. O'Toole J. J. 39. Pigott J. 29. Sasu A. 22. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Cowley D.
Jackson J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Taylor L. 🟨,
21', Browne M. 🟨,
25', Edwards O. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Browne M. ⚽, Reeves J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Ogundere I. 🟨,
65', Tilley J. 🟨,
67', Johnson R. 🟨,
74', Kelleher F. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
74', Egbo M. ↓, Vincent-Young K. ↑,
75', Tilley J. ↓, Furlong J. ↑,
75', Browne M. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
76', Iandolo E. 🟨,
77', Lewis J. 🟨,
80', Bishop T. ↓, Read A. ↑,
83', Goodman O. 🟨,
87', Stevens M. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Tovide S. ⚽,
90+3', Edwards O. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+5', Taylor L. ↓, Tucker J. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1.
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
Wimbledon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Colchester: Hunt R.
(Inactive)
Oni M.
(Inactive)
Scully A.
(Ankle Injury)
Tovide S.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Wimbledon: Ball J.
(Injury)
Maycock C.
(Injury)
McLean R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Harbottle R.
(Inactive)
Hippolyte M.
(Inactive)
Lewis J.
(Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:15 (average 1.5:2.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
AFC Wimbledon - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.52%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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Macey M. (G) 
Flanagan T. 
Kelleher F. 
Taylor L. 
Lewis J. 
Bugiel O. 
Vincent-Young K. 
Sasu A. 
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