The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cheltenham Town 20.5%
Draw 23.7%
Salford City 55.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.9%
24.7%
48.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.7%
24.5%
48.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheltenham Town's form might have worsened.
Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salford City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Cheltenham Town - Salford City Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Salford will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Stanway W. (G) 6. Wilson J. (C) 5. Cundy R. 25. Sweeney P. 3. Tomkinson J. 7. Stevenson B. 19. Evans J. 33. Willcox F. 26. Shipley J. 14. Broom R. 18. Weimann A.
1. Norris W. (G) 4. Aimson W. 17. Scarr D. (C) 24. Allen T. 43. Molyneux L. 16. Bonds E. 8. Grant J. 44. Wiredu B. 14. Odoh A. 19. Graydon R. 9. Langstaff M.
Substitutes
11. Bickerstaff J. 1. Day J. (G) 31. Diallo M. (G) 10. Miller G. 21. Nurse G. 9. Otchere K.
2. Asiimwe N. 26. Burge L. (G) 18. Butcher M. 21. Cesay K. 29. Garbutt L. 22. Oluwo A. 23. Udoh D.
Coaches
Cotterill S.
Cklamovski P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Willcox F. 🟨,
20', Evans J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Graydon R. ↓, Cesay K. ↑,
49', Odoh A. 🟨,
56', Molyneux L. 🟨,
57', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
64', Shipley J. 🟨,
71', Aimson W. 🟨,
76', Odoh A. ↓, Garbutt L. ↑,
78', Stevenson B. 🟥,
84', 0 - 1, Grant J. ⚽,
85', Broom R. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
85', Weimann A. 🟨,
87', Evans J. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
87', Molyneux L. ↓, Asiimwe N. ↑,
90+2', Shipley J. ↓, Otchere K. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Grant J. ⚽, Cesay K. (A),
90+5', Langstaff M. ↓, Udoh D. ↑,
90+5', Wiredu B. ↓, Butcher M. ↑,
90+7', Garbutt L. 🟨,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion - League Two Playoffs - Semi - finals and 1st in the Promotion - League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2.
Cheltenham has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Salford has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Salford may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Salford for this game.
Confirmed absences for Cheltenham: McCann C.
(Red Card)
Onukwuli F.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Salford: Rose M.
(Leg Injury).
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Cheltenham has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:9 (averaging 1.6:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cheltenham against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:4 goals (averaging 2.5:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Salford
10
6
1
3
15:10
5
19
8
Cheltenham
10
4
3
3
16:16
0
15
Last Results with these Odds
Cheltenham Town - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.92%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Salford City - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 48.38%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Stanway W. (G) 
Wilson J. (C) 
Sweeney P. 
Tomkinson J. 
Weimann A. 
Bonds E. 
Otchere K. 
Asiimwe N. 
Cesay K. 
Udoh D. 
Cklamovski P. 
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