The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Plymouth Argyle 60%
Draw 22.5%
AFC Wimbledon 17.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
62.3%
22.2%
15.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64%
21.6%
15.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Plymouth Argyle - AFC Wimbledon Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cooper M. (G) 8. Edwards J. (C) 2. Ross M. 15. Mitchell A. 45. Harding W. 11. Curtis R. 23. Ibrahim B. 7. White H. 14. Irow O. 17. Watts C. 9. Evans W.
39. Bursik J. (G) 17. Yiadom A. 33. Ogundere I. 6. Johnson R. (C) 29. Sasu A. 12. Smith A. 5. Harrison O. 3. Seddon S. 8. Maycock C. 21. Hippolyte M. 9. Stockley J.
Substitutes
10. Amaechi X. 19. Bakinson T. 38. Campbell S. 22. Hartridge A. 3. MacKenzie J. 29. Sorinola M. 21. Storer J. (G)
1. Bishop N. (G) 11. Browne M. 23. Cornick H. 22. Horan R. 10. Nelson Z. 2. Sessegnon S. 15. Simmonds F.
Coaches
Cleverley T.
Jackson J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Stockley J. ⚽, Maycock C. (A),
17', Ogundere I. ↓, Simmonds F. ↑,
25', 1 - 1, Watts C. ⚽,
30', Edwards J. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Irow O. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
76', Maycock C. ↓, Browne M. ↑,
77', Harrison O. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
77', Watts C. ↓, Bakinson T. ↑,
78', Harding W. ↓, Hartridge A. ↑,
90+1', Sasu A. ↓, Sessegnon S. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Amaechi X. ⚽, Hartridge A. (A),
90+6', Amaechi X. 🟨,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Championship and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 4.
Plymouth is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Wimbledon have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Wimbledon could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Plymouth is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Plymouth: Baidoo M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Boateng M.
(Knee Injury)
Oseni O.
(Ankle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Wimbledon: Tilley J.
(Hamstring Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Plymouth: Hartridge A.
(Ankle Injury)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Wimbledon: Stevens M.
(Hamstring Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Plymouth in today's match, at odds of 1.5.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Plymouth has recorded 11 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:25 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Plymouth against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 16:12 goals (averaging 1.8:1.3 per game).